{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.241Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "all_history_lane_count": 384,
    "current_lane_count": 369,
    "current_product_count": 369,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 990804118.3689592,
    "attention_trade_usd": 228619240.78138417,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 494241768.6336993,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 173834942.64984262,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 240764132.78384656,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 62,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 189,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 123,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 111,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0702606148006082,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.00742847566026,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 79.93852628899072,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 2.6364707928624367,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 7.296150500899357,
    "top_product_hs6": "730890",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 26122261.195275772,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 831.039306640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.35342708230018616,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.24254308036781605,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.24254308036781605,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.24254308036781605,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 23.074110870444535,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 14410419.352849461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 54332092.329834364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 277.03338813031104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 47992875.61111705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.667536527461097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 64454405.79183282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.29994550462534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.76261009627673
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 83059818.80122542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.86600656824323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.197976280781255
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 82683505.20448643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.45306334900581113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.880175194345128
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 95047347.71946926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.953215256665198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.82276495044017
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 120755422.26530409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.047650631674426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.284863890030142
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 173299854.04031888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.513103419548926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.975383357077497
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 245330437.37756336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.56413387427682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.17358118178951
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 347547106.58307856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.66489502817126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.244564108400226
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 478192157.39787984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.590602350064906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.26029589225602
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 686428710.1082624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.54662649498857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.912007530865125
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 777268602.9273674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.233696592436806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.773319935963038
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 532551146.38063556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.484284277670703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.654053803019197
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 709069944.9585711,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.14588650829238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0875984915831083
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1079154446.9655585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.1929472033412,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.5588836895107
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1085514347.4967337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.589341085426498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.791872214902757
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1097421669.8360302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0969290610258309,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.671975134417092
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1297668593.90329,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.247035717563275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.339201879889744
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 995054759.7789285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.319808735920912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.858723857930434
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 971135810.9054234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.403782167608459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.993166535457293
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1079504668.3803174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.158980675818974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.951131065192106
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1058365426.5587758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.958235331511704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.07738934021926
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1017204039.5383124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.889146979630431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5568844127006543
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1141204871.28137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.190359743295831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8700135666127826
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1464184568.3509579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.301640239840474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.4260478758204
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1597072331.3628058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.075888783714836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.226591893386466
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1586966821.9841552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6327521415406046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.618130312879593
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1492129044.121623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.97604036510091,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6321734972107196
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97085422.00703682,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.38713126036469,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8748016173347863,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 468555312.4468765,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.741455022603436,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8710936951870797,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1071351781.1363015,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.61564890418785,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8143416575204256,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 134428129.38829893,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.731705113445226,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0937241282440795,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 434930784.06100893,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.699895385405166,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83519194.98655877,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1042345935995461,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "740811",
      "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32579340.24987141,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0089469102178499,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "870321",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76030824.35568427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.11426796495851,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1769391555217799,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "340220",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34556807.28406821,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.454271829510892,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6296335344001514,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76588766.53015566,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.484894139819586,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7804527409077118,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "distance_km": 836,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "importer_population": 1329.254,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.24254308036781605,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.24254308036781605,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.24254308036781605
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-EST/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-EST/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-EST/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-EST/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-EST/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}