{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.261Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to Bosnia and Herzegovina: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Bosnia and Herzegovina, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BIH",
    "country_name": "Bosnia and Herzegovina"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "BIH",
    "all_history_lane_count": 222,
    "current_lane_count": 210,
    "current_product_count": 210,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 334256758.2335235,
    "attention_trade_usd": 86126502.58569464,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 126275837.08093952,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 38127501.82118081,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 130835084.99913038,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 131,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 54,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 80,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9904094628694137,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.386958119172196,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 280.16905922992675,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 9.69159243357435,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 22.251453928181007,
    "top_product_hs6": "860310",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 32394802.689671073,
    "top_product_description": "Railway or tramway coaches, vans and trucks: self-propelled, powered from an external source of electricity (excluding those of heading no. 8604)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "860310",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 952.23046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.13954278826713562,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.172941827547893,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.450218542145595,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6116595962475098,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.838558945898084,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 80,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22571.512866999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6916,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3263.459,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.651752503504983,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.857893927237747,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1079962878383087,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.522000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.1,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 25.766570297891672,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22571.512866999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6916,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3263.459
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 4252000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 7164999.999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.50893697083724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 3697897.244398664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.38943134126079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 34758099.43050287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 839.9422734948135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 101.4439622688077
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 41496983.655632675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.387953701564943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.58364341612652
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 39926562.860656835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7844215570176143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 121.0220971181112
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 45213437.22099877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.24149634115277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.161752933121692
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 68965591.48809698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.533396545367815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.450976453865174
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 86665924.69132435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.66545551383017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.4778512367583
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 84525015.28111063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4703012375843714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.18918383265556
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 125772119.39843017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.798694658783816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.175456758737113
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 76489000.45405844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.184454535785505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.078299312776734
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 100152805.49274616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.937526831587903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.817936204972041
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 129034945.05760631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.838073404695596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8573734486720719
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 137873867.60293454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.850022326418781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.7010497371364
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 132349334.82867391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.00694698009838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.736948950489221
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 173942534.6425569,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.426829509740518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.467065576741263
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 233940913.97952262,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.49321895892763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.272798145985703
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 224904419.42271027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8627251655532713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.33250084069553
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 240650955.25229192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.001434596083178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.427896444477748
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 226966203.8009328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.686556048369895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0038426793391841
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 242034895.24167025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.63917851573792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4770618308459946
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 292397470.6514771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.807981163013768,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.70759714570921
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 308815981.0660025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.615134213693462,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.810145295078467
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 302163977.727207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.15403468299582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.676658092694466
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 260506879.6442471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.786255527972902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7763422284490145
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 333327529.7849146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.95344608177439,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5786877581831735
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 389966511.8808052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.991990470285458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.875010099451043
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 433178176.85680735,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.080865576788291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.47201926310589
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "export_value_usd": 468593549.21706694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.175705576222182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.023303070624248
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "860310",
      "hs_description": "Railway or tramway coaches, vans and trucks: self-propelled, powered from an external source of electricity (excluding those of heading no. 8604)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32394881.52175978,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8657401722429697,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156652244.18603382,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5092971974096124,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "020120",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132702611.2013025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.775420401028484,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9365333721288635,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "270400",
      "hs_description": "Coke and semi-coke: of coal, lignite or peat, whether or not agglomerated: retort carbon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25610971.967671342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.451005587434786,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8032797128575562,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "391620",
      "hs_description": "Vinyl chloride polymers: monofilament, of which any cross-sectional dimension exceeds 1mm, rods, sticks and profile shapes, whether or not surface-worked but not otherwise worked",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55956310.395396836,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.451269500135974,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "940360",
      "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36095748.70097794,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.3188968829623218,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.41739178309091274,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "961900",
      "hs_description": "Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies and similar articles, of any material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27006941.137927037,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.817383804797139,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5006393606019975,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68837587.61456217,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.105011644910055,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6372969162149661,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "180690",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53653026.88808615,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.3105989330798899,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5985939108655346,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "BIH",
      "hs_code": "401699",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), articles n.e.s. in heading no. 4016, of non-cellular rubber",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16908969.427078817,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9553644008745512,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "BIH",
    "distance_km": 953,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22571.512866999998,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6916.4383149903215,
    "importer_population": 3263.459,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 80,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.172941827547893,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.450218542145595,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6116595962475098,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.838558945898084
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-BIH/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-BIH/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-BIH/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-BIH/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-BIH/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}