{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:24.667Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Papua New Guinea exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Papua New Guinea to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PNG",
    "country_name": "Papua New Guinea"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 45434.068964523154,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 45434.068964523154,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 45434.068964523154,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 45434.068964523154,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1540488598860608,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 87.16488866598677,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "160414",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 45434.068964523154,
    "top_product_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 13890.734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.24500000476837158,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3899,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3899
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2889.0264445854696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 17784.8035385591,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 515.5985028067454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 396.12338294086567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.77268620324068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 254.70633817645393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.70025170302124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.49288828689287
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 14299.850721598921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5514.250051246215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.011877889745854
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 8898.149018697251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.774532112721836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 182.15628708430836
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 20350.490364229132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.70476007389433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 330.7034746634066
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 12124.899069080073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.419622072633246,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.351106154669627
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 53993.4415398593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 345.3104412023434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.39535685948758
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 17242.175890088638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.0661661891657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.375035214232094
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 13518.221925852811,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.597935132864965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6924525487949555
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 26868.70775308048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.75918519798559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.755598487530936
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 34728.16969606926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.251358179247354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.28834579771113
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 105891.31547693138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 204.9147605637184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 98.6004632642864
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 198260.23957582552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.22993352464006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 94.68371084041904
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 9864.634999383165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.02440074697358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.26453967077817
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 126227.79994299926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1179.5992953707084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.03068238979334
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 179057.20848835804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.85243549298568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3388270240949924
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 220595.47439925064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.19832095092298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 181.7335229544748
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 161846.8053410809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.631855988052532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.638319629578595
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 93050.05118509538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.50732908258593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.60267439971185
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 171282.30388259978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.07545369522111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.08805303846748
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 353982.6635092924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.6662203188947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.805358348351586
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 31141.846756707127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.20243730357444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.570732665131185
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 30542.876524442752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9233613116902637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.714160643943245
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 79021.38325889753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 158.72279317129335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.33741982478871
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 45434.068964523154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.504082957308356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.41724400070139
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "160414",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32278581.003689528,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.16488866598677,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1540488598860608,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PNG",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "distance_km": 13880,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "importer_population": 3899,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 26594.277246,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2916.357348855495,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PNG-HRV/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PNG-HRV/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PNG-HRV/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PNG-HRV/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PNG-HRV/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}