{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.181Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Philippines exports to Vietnam: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Philippines to Vietnam, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PHL",
    "country_name": "Philippines"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
    "importer_iso3": "VNM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 553,
    "current_lane_count": 341,
    "current_product_count": 341,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2299873727.023361,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1185711575.2647998,
    "critical_trade_usd": 45271117.81842624,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2154165104.1973796,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 201734528.60357565,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1195447610.0843327,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 73,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 248,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 149,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 236,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.539874756403535,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.00368032643795,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 859.7294084333012,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 20.179643352204845,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 43.216194242492264,
    "top_product_hs6": "854239",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 464106315.66437554,
    "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "852990",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1750.0155029296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.199240541618359,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.905857597826087,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.0381792133096617,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 14.867678384516426,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 362637.524071,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3694,
    "buyer_population_latest": 98168.831,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.336634047306667,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.513364638435548,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.77292592499143,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.64,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.712,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 51.5555076495187,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.968417539036759,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 362637.524071,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3694,
    "buyer_population_2024": 98168.831
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 46450564.91558292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 86833523.58278228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.93749740307672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 68964148.66618203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.578889557055213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 74222385.35687903,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.624594506559146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.909006309861496
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 59967260.88817737,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.205963807494996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.608820495743998
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 70238754.83819488,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.128502782828537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6123149271470396
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 62108889.004089184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.574615542137689,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.766291158390158
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 103984712.72370835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.4232374642253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.139299327845062
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 148696791.20029822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.99870366078877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.402929115213404
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 484559336.2374812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 225.87074161188045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 98.33425765608072
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 277036212.11946255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.82718515536189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.629507833595866
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 350181693.80058855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.40285943903409,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.04460876380135
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 428386003.37847215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.332495091081817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.023972785443652
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 402748994.11093706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.98455810071955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.283321618951005
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 426498678.95509344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.896894887741055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.792663197922955
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 625493399.6406792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.65775780903139,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.447732377151977
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 759880300.1777356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.484943024859437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.567304688585832
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 774997675.4706903,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9894416646172752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.02839612840235
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 747757554.4960551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5148648617676193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1319212305613435
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 540828475.9109622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.673284922484132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.716448982290604
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 817086521.6201043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.08052885784495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.778461620315075
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 929714510.0979183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.784095747228475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.529988636161544
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1056854427.8519627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.675156875916027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.021644454770975
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1141930810.8298297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.049962297152247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.803975952600943
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1538869446.8439784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.760305287296475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.290732928709197
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1606075518.7678392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.367236743941572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.969752645039925
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2088227328.4108334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.020494304831622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.28672889954919
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2290919303.200707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.706413283276238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.183321331895549
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2210334458.6066475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.517576742291717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.232238513466154
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2345895132.226001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.133038965732274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.954574793227783
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "854239",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21034932194.003883,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.067458674375972,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4259585274288142,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "852990",
      "hs_description": "Reception and transmission apparatus: for use with the apparatus of heading no. 8525 to 8528, excluding aerials and aerial reflectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4430743773.179926,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0772578206718117,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2248106451.0659437,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1040917815830915,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "900699",
      "hs_description": "Photographic flashlight apparatus: parts and accessories, for other than cameras",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 208236761.93312895,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.136103784650507,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3783307014316846,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26711234538.45649,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.579879453915183,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4891906148776157,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "850450",
      "hs_description": "Electrical inductors: n.e.c. in heading no. 8504",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 716621133.9099457,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.67590617668977,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6979660000301269,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "900211",
      "hs_description": "Lenses: objective, for cameras, projectors or photographic enlargers or reducers, mounted, being parts or fittings for instruments or apparatus, of any material (excluding glass not optically worked)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 229995487.05244815,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.407875301384457,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "853400",
      "hs_description": "Circuits: printed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5142655134.523343,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.132716724664366,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2437356758034326,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "853224",
      "hs_description": "Electrical capacitors: fixed, ceramic dielectric, multilayer",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 885690948.5681396,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.206549969930034,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.272615432588153,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "854290",
      "hs_description": "Parts of electronic integrated circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 812886975.2545446,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.498245986792504,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5326537162125549,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PHL",
    "importer_iso3": "VNM",
    "distance_km": 1612,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "importer_population": 98168.831,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.199240541618359,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.905857597826087,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.0381792133096617,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 14.867678384516426
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-VNM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-VNM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-VNM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-VNM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-VNM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}