{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.109Z", "seo": { "title": "Philippines exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Philippines to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PHL", "country_name": "Philippines" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "all_history_lane_count": 19, "current_lane_count": 14, "current_product_count": 14, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5448696.486694397, "attention_trade_usd": 4339966.294780066, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4656573.341888033, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 181095.73852954523, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2882042.843485767, "access_friction_trade_usd": 5448696.486694397, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 14, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7108867350824943, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.5288609837123746, "product_concentration_hhi": 3374.6675726662593, "top1_product_share_pct": 47.385435660529254, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.38636599733132, "top_product_hs6": "854231", "top_product_trade_usd": 2581888.5680400915, "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854231", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10470.3779296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8732385061565655, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878789, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6783230751161615, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.655699262762627, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683, "buyer_population_latest": 639.07, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.65145985609902, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683, "buyer_population_2024": 639.07 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 793825.2640913274, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 452591.6355771137, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.98598746473704, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 150765.3871069751, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.68842831911168, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 4335815.685425276, "yoy_growth_pct": 2775.869434374092, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.10916795097278 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1785447.4227139382, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.82095660302927, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.008401950813735 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1703980.6077343484, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.562823522171133, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.41626683286655 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1374227.948510621, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.351902112440943, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.81911174504618 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 2432847.5062283874, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.03376713194423, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.863675800217433 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 2698154.3557750084, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.90519849137288, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.55584244624042 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 2688129.1776284585, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3715568801722746, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.06346374206916 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 3267599.969570165, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.55665720101039, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.332806472053345 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 3251350.2728070803, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.49729761642831605, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.414054187725782 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6032587.432295475, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.5409883933296, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.92356728520176 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6216901.467409117, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0553064863497292, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.912475588378037 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7450379.3680745205, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.84071819589981, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.837272427830456 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7823838.230747896, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.0126153880657, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.053283347052465 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6569298.9703226555, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.034831286450522, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8548423648814483 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6621544.866269206, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7953039766126491, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.854938935691954 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6501253.78681429, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8166618498303921, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.986024192824447 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 5435764.802572015, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.388976944774537, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.118386860016289 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6462512.711498919, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.888747880354995, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8070754958765081 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 4573800.3895993605, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.22566509678074, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.060770556289167 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7541086.094962069, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.87571499862996, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.529840374594812 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6580810.1073108325, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.733921553988925, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6064866470694597 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6744538.132490125, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4879615504693087, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.821682871295105 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 8663681.745278088, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.454781855898624, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.734443737931193 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21675260.901254818, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9188822638457452, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "711719", "hs_description": "Jewellery: imitation, (excluding cuff links and studs), of base metal, whether or not plated with precious metal", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10190908.381479349, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.833639149236717, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "850811", "hs_description": "Vacuum cleaners, with self-contained electric motor, of a power not exceeding 1,500 W and having a dust bag or other receptacle capacity not exceeding 20L", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12508141.341262536, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9350475190906323, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "220840", "hs_description": "Rum and other spirits obtained by distilling fermented sugar-cane products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15581442.56952509, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.46365650839359, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7734511334526121, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "847170", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: storage units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39847926.633328535, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.1978931875083, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2021574888086897, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "902110", "hs_description": "Orthopaedic or fracture appliances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10756223.348160008, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.729494187495256, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4758642289235533, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "854239", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12246662.01399904, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.2494534370784, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6004550943707352, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31000016.714420788, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2931091660325829, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34067813.22723852, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4499737777623967, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "640419", "hs_description": "Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13943343.933792755, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.53357242280691, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7167460063190824, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "distance_km": 10477, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "importer_population": 639.07, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8732385061565655, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878789, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6783230751161615, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.655699262762627 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-LUX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-LUX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-LUX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-LUX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-LUX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }