{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.242Z", "seo": { "title": "Philippines exports to Brunei: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Philippines to Brunei, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PHL", "country_name": "Philippines" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRN", "country_name": "Brunei" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 85581781.14653552, "attention_trade_usd": 17564975.93507052, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 18121805.632149443, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 66030260.72742008, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19592130.797070317, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 6, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0335167540236407, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.912839089758506, "product_concentration_hhi": 6364.757704736214, "top1_product_share_pct": 77.08328800517876, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.73147300828222, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 65969250.84114574, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270119", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1262.3389892578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2094746083021164, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8059946277939398, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.2865477335959605, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8584464271365656, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.428101306459395, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14006.569576, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 31723, "buyer_population_latest": 441.532, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6363175751219714, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.731441922235355, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.889474911383159, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 56.65599999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 20.5242000105084, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14006.569576, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 31723, "buyer_population_2024": 441.532 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 7317727.898243998, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 8172180.9419280905, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.676480125601984, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 9358145.851223668, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.512220394079645, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 5237812.4995214045, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.029377370341905, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.54775793828464 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 6345053.283184316, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.13937419035301, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.089365014733009 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 4974969.450330831, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.592944482979938, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.990950556495168 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 3983662.080716226, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.925898631371176, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.719604176127294 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 3102031.4289420433, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.13116057312957, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.222237764676265 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 3094256.4587320075, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.25064124552366396, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.639825159820441 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 4555795.263217157, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.233925952087105, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.574846473226413 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 8357089.536494032, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.43865458502897, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.14564571338555 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 6338995.0134634385, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.148293663935362, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.005160600696264 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 6589134.288997328, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9460399480141017, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.089266353078433 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 14504271.801576406, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.12408861959204, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.17485998636466 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 5691912.855211214, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.756989850448164, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.525483496155124 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 6336965.6132515455, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.332793991210789, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2923080054081382 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 7585003.126521181, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.6945602901774, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.433726154093776 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 8849017.53736841, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.664652469655096, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.845438511372677 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 10362396.418525105, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.102224905373586, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.812928275423868 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 9947775.70658191, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.001204887336374, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.460326735725877 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 10182569.779112356, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3602670532177017, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.790226651818719 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 7818088.883401498, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.220866117324825, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.9639371339983 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 8456974.918998063, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.171895269098005, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.268077141926941 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 9955397.805554468, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.718190025493552, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7492628015588254 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 7340610.681459434, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.265018989358236, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0786942748019177 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 6396865.923640631, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.856488360055229, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.886219139208828 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 26777286.098889302, "yoy_growth_pct": 318.600083517924, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.07080869122128 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 152101216.45222366, "yoy_growth_pct": 468.02327125500847, "cagr_3y_pct": 174.66300381996513 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 58970186.35901056, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.22964185658988, "cagr_3y_pct": 109.67907113139161 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 90145641.00332773, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.86646790383358, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.87391686525369 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3640592450.7823744, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.22925690445839, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9724458680166466, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "270119", "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17598640.2920533, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.202783785810084, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.251634337396884, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "210390", "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12726654.579753142, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9519155883160324, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16404938.81395242, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.062426007874976, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7887109012389234, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39516797.89814446, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3396741906003053, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22864482.497032695, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.67092531103325, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0611695133914338, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "190230", "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta (excluding stuffed), cooked or otherwise prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10022675.785745388, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.66215342049535, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6998641667523349, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16438592.118394708, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.42783930993859, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2914834615953172, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "950300", "hs_description": "Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11485887.054573782, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.56768408680588, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1130501086414282, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "392490", "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10163110.57142821, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.87926852925664, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8263867489839265, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PHL", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "distance_km": 1257, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355, "importer_population": 441.532, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8059946277939398, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.2865477335959605, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8584464271365656, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.428101306459395 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-BRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-BRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-BRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-BRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PHL-BRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }