{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.269Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Peru exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Peru to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PER",
    "country_name": "Peru"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PER",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "all_history_lane_count": 56,
    "current_lane_count": 20,
    "current_product_count": 20,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 13888577.93940206,
    "attention_trade_usd": 11009189.14114486,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3028685.401809658,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2003090.789394821,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4017883.967901805,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 13888577.93940206,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 13888577.93940206,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 20,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9698843356502512,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.296384197089434,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1731.4122598785957,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 30.86150926829923,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 63.28822419705406,
    "top_product_hs6": "360300",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4286224.768003529,
    "top_product_description": "Fuses and detonators: safety or detonating fuses, percussion or detonating caps, igniters, electric detonators",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "360300",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": 9768.0048828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994,
    "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.26793649558361,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994,
    "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 12393001.176747963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5642488.629526177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.47036154476652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1060104.8901497272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.21210409530327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 6145942.530104556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 479.74853122661426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.846400708259505
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5375919.542835156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.528964979701819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6002437578601092
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5213645.914071659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.018527853151576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.0581949068725
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 8090900.758916788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.18700142407835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.59804141708085
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 65760615.12190048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 712.7724845645557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.4116154578414
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 36928739.172435574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.843683481395736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.04705386450578
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 24406188.579379756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.91004099702089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.48885941268277
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 27278327.5626486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.768076665995487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.420873731750703
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 53669039.07123719,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.74607597543701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.271272583975113
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 107392179.13074727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 100.10080483870985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.866771533811594
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 40305703.367693305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.46867910313829,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.89804107254684
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 65956152.49241516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.639750659411035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.113406511614873
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 90482898.44414109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.18644133243893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.550872648126037
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 95468710.25573775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.510225575581673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.30041977119767
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 125382765.2115093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.333884029268845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.87799761281455
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 79894062.25629507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.279868990350415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.063765901044791
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 40318378.776863605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.53519994073551,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.973618388570006
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 65979839.04297898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.64705388610767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.26575231131765
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 65615807.28402127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5517318081369904,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.352111234567682
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 40764553.731884256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.87388219513499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.36752400834412224
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 26436529.21986046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.14824326610263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.277894783284907
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 21991673.621980377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.81330995046386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.537575933593196
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "360300",
      "hs_description": "Fuses and detonators: safety or detonating fuses, percussion or detonating caps, igniters, electric detonators",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48047003.74961779,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.04071519852138,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9536994485077307,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "282550",
      "hs_description": "Copper oxides and hydroxides",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15208785.196227223,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8058560481200047,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "401180",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 205947089.74183577,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8124487841269936,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59857174.04057337,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1864002519016308,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "843041",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114819756.25843638,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.50652768005543,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.144915721767718,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "800110",
      "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, not alloyed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11202139.133372078,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6550777332264826,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99246737.63081378,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.855334847243824,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9648434232374304,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "392690",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 306249712.61782134,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5754547154546548,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "550130",
      "hs_description": "Fibres: synthetic filament tow, acrylic or modacrylic",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18537320.41992018,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.9951470605715,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5730636975568697,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PER",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "030743",
      "hs_description": "Molluscs: cuttle fish and squid, whether in shell or not, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19922946.757362057,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.76188856153306,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.085947071039856,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PER",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "distance_km": 10891,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "importer_population": 60041.996,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 223249.4975,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6692.248173881455,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-ZAF/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-ZAF/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-ZAF/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-ZAF/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}