{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.140Z", "seo": { "title": "Peru exports to the Philippines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Peru to the Philippines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PER", "country_name": "Peru" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PHL", "country_name": "Philippines" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "all_history_lane_count": 66, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 206941427.2777435, "attention_trade_usd": 1702039.5367613288, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 458730.5783674691, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 474659.7454876923, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3082810.8089358252, "access_friction_trade_usd": 206941427.2777435, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 12, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6720075114236645, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.68202487768998, "product_concentration_hhi": 9640.250255075895, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.1801705095591, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.38964651153775, "top_product_hs6": "260300", "top_product_trade_usd": 203175446.1562038, "top_product_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "top_attention_product_hs6": "261690", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 18063.47265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.026100000366568565, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.39261913616162, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.39261913616162, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3549, "buyer_population_latest": 111046.913, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.14271163092057, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.220520105972713, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.893418793085976, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.322000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.036000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0.8224740493728985, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3549, "buyer_population_2024": 111046.913 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 34987123.87178644, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 34374163.922266535, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7519586684694333, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 51429289.78416952, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.61611837446085, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 17630647.531671282, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.7186641976569, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.42316289079129 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 30033920.571217157, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.35063809916753, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.399544529019794 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 35841850.42446352, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.337901089118414, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.340223523058402 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 23585559.36383474, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.1954751651532, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.185887093621716 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 13018713.769230809, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.802183537808126, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.319263424100722 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 10565448.779690389, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.844142616750748, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.4472750622276 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 8520663.841640318, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.353507652043067, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.778833299536476 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 7805103.3110865895, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.397943444932043, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.678784351592046 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 41777703.564622104, "yoy_growth_pct": 435.26137835074996, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.13167518021982 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 9257424.993681042, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.84123059956711, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.802953039596301 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 34470325.32044325, "yoy_growth_pct": 272.3532768990524, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.06737969980931 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 55341754.68607983, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.5489770450713, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.825398297028887 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 96452566.37959713, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.28534192078654, "cagr_3y_pct": 118.41101070917964 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 111006601.85252121, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.0893190499934, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.67301505498127 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 47154854.6604151, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.52067546120987, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.196472907488836 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 97323082.44665484, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.39037729524436, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2999437114528769 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 126885778.93495084, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.375832479925858, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.557385253164625 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 50427527.754074186, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.25754172189279, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2618759685077983 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 118119199.06769031, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.2355541277693, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.66817857244435 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 270537563.1254589, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.03775614870406, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.70780224593299 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 167968903.34679496, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.91290887435799, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.34375608347248 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 164493287.47218353, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0692019804615547, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.67155464845373 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 202471299.96239352, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.087879799734836, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.208477452233 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 169231793.266962, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.416897951267828, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.24999429409353624 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 40746230.4588804, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.92282769550074, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.1970921850694 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 78845650.95370269, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.5041599327104, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.97502382649687 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 209524892.29820698, "yoy_growth_pct": 165.74058272565694, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.378637712512037 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1741288181.9151006, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.294233781475853, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6752427593193095, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "261690", "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 411055806.63715214, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.589969556346517, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.18056764098463926, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "800110", "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12860507.325659286, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.786452383244175, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.579408923137642, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "230120", "hs_description": "Flours, meals and pellets: of fish or of crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13538074.816988956, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.05127327438704, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3327853430384249, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "281700", "hs_description": "Zinc: oxide and peroxide", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13593359.367102847, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.32659971860707, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6678547915202206, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "851761", "hs_description": "Base stations", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24147483.130816426, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "130239", "hs_description": "Mucilages and thickeners: whether or not modified, derived from vegetable products, n.e.c. in item no. 1302.3", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29032875.1815424, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.529497278413736, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8572562838138037, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "200520", "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: potatoes, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid, not frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32014315.72998032, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9878056715735678, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "440729", "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4407.2, sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13904625.855354019, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.43737523596539, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7750100095554576, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "844313", "hs_description": "Printing machinery: offset, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10500985.542709133, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.164336376705656, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9446580743466515, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "distance_km": 18064, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311, "importer_population": 111046.913, "importer_biz_entry_days": 33, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 223249.4975, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6692.248173881455, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.39261913616162, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.39261913616162, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-PHL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-PHL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-PHL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-PHL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-PHL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }