{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.202Z", "seo": { "title": "Peru exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Peru to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PER", "country_name": "Peru" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "all_history_lane_count": 30, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 26240515.96609848, "attention_trade_usd": 25336646.652081966, "critical_trade_usd": 22491060.447292894, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 23112402.43063403, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 24340051.487240825, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 22577810.00332641, "access_friction_trade_usd": 26240515.96609848, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 26240515.96609848, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 9, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4685211635142812, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 65.44505655469281, "product_concentration_hhi": 7409.831152373517, "top1_product_share_pct": 85.71119743358054, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.55544382136286, "top_product_hs6": "030355", "top_product_trade_usd": 22491060.447292894, "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, jack and horse mackerel (Trachurus spp.), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030355", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 9143.533203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085, "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.55544382136286, "critical_trade_share_pct": 85.71119743358054, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085, "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 478391.04945374024, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1176337.7237440993, "yoy_growth_pct": 145.89459294594297, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1066372.145762132, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.34812985780682, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1992354.5957798173, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.83483094505335, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.889559809968084 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 857727.4693977659, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.949055594089806, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.993798966817302 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 841821.5088565991, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8544305864816035, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.579054229507632 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1113532.7877247662, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.27659022839864, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.628155473962416 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1489994.0606031725, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.80783009071637, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.211238829662893 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1044913.3626244618, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.87130685598406, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.469877797655178 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1773926.1078303766, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.76776939428608, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.791393092239314 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 4808931.933007348, "yoy_growth_pct": 171.08975462844813, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.78194027628253 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 18330091.068863276, "yoy_growth_pct": 281.1676131876593, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.8332825107939 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 19299124.9278974, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.28657416590903, "cagr_3y_pct": 121.58177175219733 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 11435285.184538014, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.74713114060419, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.47485466702786 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 6351752.247655131, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.454798064472214, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.761325200894074 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 1206658.6314931575, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.0027440547824, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.3098930831496 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 22037697.459715873, "yoy_growth_pct": 1726.3406803335695, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.443744992956674 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 74825043.49621639, "yoy_growth_pct": 239.53203883025392, "cagr_3y_pct": 127.53653628525466 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 18407151.620684106, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.39974484396406, "cagr_3y_pct": 148.00896994550524 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 8191408.714974158, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.498770892018534, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.09968499881681 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 729890.4259895727, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.08956162014832, "cagr_3y_pct": -78.63332735313 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 2911304.2569834553, "yoy_growth_pct": 298.8686730664209, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.920375355876764 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 6756026.970964652, "yoy_growth_pct": 132.06186556278737, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.219849304073599 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 5052290.791053588, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.218019217999032, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.57981044395744 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 26721175.67272329, "yoy_growth_pct": 428.8922743726504, "cagr_3y_pct": 109.37395442613895 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 40516453.289144054, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.62676143214328, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.68260525849345 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 12740920.09488366, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.55371321877907, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.114424417940015 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 5651790.939013036, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.640637434947806, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.41867246401206 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 10375477.742093543, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.5785833915753, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.49729469232255 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "export_value_usd": 27481715.44839799, "yoy_growth_pct": 164.87180765570017, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.205504303477724 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030355", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, jack and horse mackerel (Trachurus spp.), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 160251326.97414663, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.62704305713615, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5792177886376013, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030256", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, blue whitings (Micromesistius poutassou, Micromesistius australis),excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24961602.008649617, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.92304919588075, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8140488284558357, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030354", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137895955.8874491, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.18011985990563, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5703716075655951, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030369", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, of Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae, Muraenolepididae, other than cod, haddock, coalfish, hake, Alaska pollack, blue whitings, not fillets, meat of 0304, and edible offal of 0303.9", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15630795.276525155, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.48141656132829, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3899835688087654, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 153102348.04942557, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.015533958005223, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "410150", "hs_description": "Hides and skins: raw, whole, of bovine or equine animals, of a weight per skin exceeding 16 kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38750875.14415961, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.80936094334035, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4342319547021338, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45771461.42164224, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.236802068461756, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8960401328003532, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "843139", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of the machinery of heading no. 8428, (other than lifts, skip hoists or escalators)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22964242.04475811, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.21229674949638, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.20636208885650564, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "hs_code": "030389", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22068669.132379744, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.21653468338911, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8454411168908145, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PER", "importer_iso3": "NGA", "distance_km": 9132, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "importer_population": 211400.711, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 223249.4975, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6692.248173881455, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-NGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-NGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-NGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-NGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PER-NGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }