{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.185Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "WXD", "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "all_history_lane_count": 38, "current_lane_count": 21, "current_product_count": 21, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 78695569.39199999, "attention_trade_usd": 68244177.065, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14457941.250000004, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1793268.7950000002, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 69292251.138, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 14, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9971535720429483, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.356586478409195, "product_concentration_hhi": 6064.647530151792, "top1_product_share_pct": 77.17120294979873, "top3_product_share_pct": 88.73907837954995, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 60730317.567999996, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.71921124944238, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 4285567.947895504, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 4561242.94143529, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.4326361614488015, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 5414049.431328429, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.69680043012105, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 5700065.984072687, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.282858170618487, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.974120960643562 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 5431444.23531228, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.712607705086203, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.9930461441305205 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 6019378.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.824648826647042, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5960406533112277 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 7254653, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.521618592216928, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.370793608765382 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 11052871, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.355612322188264, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.722361873802413 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 11150858, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.886529843693995, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.81522235501614 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 5799945.231575337, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.98655644637088, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.188366569552828 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 23678407.000000004, "yoy_growth_pct": 308.25225160908377, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.911736909442574 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 65869676.00000001, "yoy_growth_pct": 178.18457550797228, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.76974579217662 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 61241540, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.026201252303121, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.38523905987068 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 80072533, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.748725456610003, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.09873379457481 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 65595293.78980246, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.080156412933178, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.13904429351125902 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 63713603, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.86863688092055, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3278172337259253 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 30179680.999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.63228011136021, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.76566272933094 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 24141413, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.00772639048105, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.33672225690468 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 33292530, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.906302336155704, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.45506941764098 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 42807136.26499999, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.578802106658728, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.357097094753255 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 51036954.211, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.2253410624174, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.343542070018923 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 58227550.264, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.088999165726479, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.483406952602422 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 66820873.998000026, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.758174944744272, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.001959547400357 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 70166060.20799999, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.00619942519771, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.193853445648916 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 86172705.82100002, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.81251870997174, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.958590848915865 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 74667168.313, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.351718967603976, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.770165617931487 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 91489778.421, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.530130026467198, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.248419146894582 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 308143895.0105619, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.37215974925815, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9410010576389457, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66678270.380305134, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.971710709347803, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0661364600263479, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 196462455.1118329, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.81876179067472, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5691051981191201, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "300420", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17826980.735858686, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.651421046839374, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "190531", "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25377636.772953212, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.99128792220554, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9683328826443913, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "170490", "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28799215.11150468, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.902017832268335, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.772136584938163, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40014666.63770454, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7004051411652468, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "040120", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content exceeding 1% but not exceeding 6% (by weight)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13842723.352134544, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.351139122145045, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 126691036.38556205, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.72900377742997, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3668024103198353, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "761510", "hs_description": "Aluminium: table, kitchen or other household articles and parts thereof: pot scourers and scouring or polishing pads, gloves and the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10842728.42614977, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.515089558384304, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3731385404786456, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "shares_ethnic_language": null, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_colonial_history": null, "has_fta": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": null, "importer_is_wto": null, "exporter_is_eu": null, "importer_is_eu": null, "importer_gdp_million_usd": null, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "importer_population": null, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-WXD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-WXD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-WXD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-WXD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-WXD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }