{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.198Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Pakistan exports to Uzbekistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Uzbekistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PAK",
    "country_name": "Pakistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
    "importer_iso3": "UZB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 71,
    "current_lane_count": 33,
    "current_product_count": 33,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 84792426.90820318,
    "attention_trade_usd": 45915973.581176125,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 52085122.44522647,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10941103.342325015,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 48559448.60230244,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 19,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1216678582643322,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.361783536258441,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1270.1916316969528,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 22.81210847726383,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 50.672766001453965,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 19342940.406803954,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "020210",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 913.6255493164062,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 69238.90310600001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1983,
    "buyer_population_latest": 34915.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.30599251867368,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.14382231876436,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.98102847598145,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 54.15103123641578,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 69238.90310600001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1983,
    "buyer_population_2024": 34915.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2346447.5477225883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2234102.846020711,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.787863330289078,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1950979.2906137526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.672807606473723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1743959.0723991545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.611092552882617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.418019339811668
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1787707.2340107705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5085543751569794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1608664586645165
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 3295743.999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.35591339001888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.096848702471103
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 3205894.999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.726212958287999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.50044561574791
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2264684.9999999995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.358728217861152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.202460177353021
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2089153.3333333333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.750820386352464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.09753715163321
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2731304.999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.737411965931937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.200298790775914
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2544953.999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.822782516050019,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.965850597190723
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2113004.9999999977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.972762572525934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.37912435518643317
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2722433.5439968207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.841793748562992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.10838626461955325
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2485188.760685416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.714438001050496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7890028520110337
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 15776654.104512803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 534.8271951850288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 95.45110333877153
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 17372083.02760281,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.112593662262292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.48047655062992
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 17462331.511047825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.519502947928685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.53476623503767
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 15521409.634326018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.11490682383307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5422220213745277
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 17367794.830292016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.895731376631336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.00822881591344693
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 19668289.07909473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.245747495763304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.045056733377295
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 41288187.82748588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.92262042442103,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.55798331896552
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 25660332.05749251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.85067011245715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.895316033086313
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 30890838.643629182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.383627828422533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.239670991462173
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 63324795.46578926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.99539101651791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.323015872113777
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 111957989.35270509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.79960674044268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.40459796535707
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 102364808.74891096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.568553847079553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.087189168243924
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 108244370.73211496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.743733666934192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.566772979002355
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 882895230.0414877,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4438897272578968,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "020210",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, carcasses and half-carcasses, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15412303.868740564,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47834958767251295,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "300449",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing alkaloids or their derivatives: other than ephedrine, pseudoephedrine (INN) or norephedrine or their salts: for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38386865.859266795,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4328256087798745,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "100640",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10761262.90703818,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0512168741163568,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "080521",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20713808.42217216,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9068456664005196,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14615108.480988584,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.83807779333744,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8357811636029076,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "761290",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: casks, drums, cans, boxes and the like for any material (not compressed or liquefied gas), 300l capacity or less, whether or not lined or heat-insulated, no mechanical or thermal equipment",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42252707.16860238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.397324493685264,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5760399418085433,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "070190",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: potatoes (other than seed), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50476780.03620305,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.48552760179567,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4087891449478989,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108563982.55153508,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8327944968437732,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "842230",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filling, closing, sealing, capsuling or labelling bottles, cans, bags or other containers, machinery for aerating beverages",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89943525.30918299,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6472028730152117,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
    "importer_iso3": "UZB",
    "distance_km": 1825,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "importer_population": 34915.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-UZB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-UZB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-UZB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-UZB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-UZB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}