{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.249Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Madagascar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Madagascar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MDG", "country_name": "Madagascar" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "all_history_lane_count": 19, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2010, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 150871290.9860723, "attention_trade_usd": 150541456.5128587, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 204056.8715933049, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 166140.54672888658, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 150782206.9673692, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7476093761307095, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.11319797426878042, "product_concentration_hhi": 5313.801739392607, "top1_product_share_pct": 68.17344115606379, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.78138022743899, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 102854150.78178377, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6448.81298828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14637.400396, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 515, "buyer_population_latest": 28427.334, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.3132742329127005, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.745400205779224, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5238232116046477, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.479999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.228, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.78138022743899, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14637.400396, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 515, "buyer_population_2024": 28427.334 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 6714311.085359268, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 532401.1890579585, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.07065055089757, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 7249237.095611125, "yoy_growth_pct": 1261.6117402814355, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 11787572.710607221, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.6043203600517, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.63527222141599 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 12384828.018783113, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.066821837191671, "cagr_3y_pct": 185.4633257259071 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 16897176.866528213, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.4344893679716, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.58893491336596 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 18129007.41236669, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.290155956635691, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.42942899261137 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 13975506.034849772, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.91080412203709, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1100177786224545 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 20917845.179072496, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.67504666314824, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.374444850254114 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 19361174.15990109, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.441832587654851, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2160799992618108 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 27035136.083151907, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.63582921093882, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.600659008006588 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 24766645.023708142, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.390899355810788, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.7913303236017954 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 61721887.77761211, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.2137619711033, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.1756072276885 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 49090106.2867393, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.465643462471416, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.998681616541237 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 36997362.66590394, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.63376948137097, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.314466997221963 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 59577420.39414397, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.03153333426488, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.171812279922324 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 90562109.82908848, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.007437096068166, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.64528396959198 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 62885426.006596535, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.560997170587356, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.34193637603636 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 97651281.70358865, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.28444013935003, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.904962445254057 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 108741786.2899494, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.357254500790837, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.287773683949749 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 85052966.9356862, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.78446774002707, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.589311309911785 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 84050785.22337213, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1783030603410682, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.8764735114682605 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 142797231.74684232, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.89398893460246, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.506805112229145 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 133977868.18915522, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.176144628155322, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.353967968120166 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 90090973.94813323, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.75682382037961, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.340256775683147 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 51444163.24389893, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.89753902148274, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.844997248675764 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 97512840.54354523, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.55083413687336, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.048257338382903 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 111688030.83377516, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.536742249755164, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.425763912562822 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 109126907.24958023, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.293104789363365, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.488792118761495 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 174842976.6965308, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.21985878941267, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.486716625661707 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119919556.35204978, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7795143390552881, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51862635.74697784, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6167311317905784, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "630900", "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59961806.881035574, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9041236763313559, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "520942", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13654875.146575702, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.1851193498412, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3676479933553616, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22611105.404460113, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14670199.555753905, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4636844842864831, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "540752", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of textured polyester filaments, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19429913.130249962, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.03669322415098, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7857179344404469, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "distance_km": 5290, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402, "importer_population": 28427.334, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 30.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-MDG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-MDG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-MDG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-MDG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-MDG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }