{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.113Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "all_history_lane_count": 28, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9787754.345813237, "attention_trade_usd": 4048387.0150110824, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5156448.587480227, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 478161.0401978575, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1388528.3852149625, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 9787754.345813237, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 6, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0024731268822895, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.966805321233426, "product_concentration_hhi": 2118.7674472587064, "top1_product_share_pct": 38.207663949485074, "top3_product_share_pct": 68.28648910535203, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 3739672.288649443, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "392020", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3462.156982421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02500000037252903, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670, "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.361755434154325, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670, "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 12054444.075292457, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 12785686.582261417, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.066165327920525, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 10144711.397715844, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.655716590218976, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 12188292.691659037, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.14430193059331, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.36876094630446943 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 13065146.822493704, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.194232637970166, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7233310683161909 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 12535011.737565603, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.057628223629218, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.307073159788935 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 13291029.489822721, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.031248857880556, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.929196428323988 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 11047002.331180032, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.883772324491474, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.439436762819505 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 12769126.659703255, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.589064588703373, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.61872657769102 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 16942187.448643465, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.68086299205986, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.4268781421571 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 19999571.005479753, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.045978809431062, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.878025978268354 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 13258154.947574817, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.707803312670215, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2606315769302157 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 14451267.790365918, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.999086581118476, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.162778412401092 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 20080304.550933264, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.95185420562201, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1343781396100585 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 18595153.946228348, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.396056175033916, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.936630394430846 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 18214513.68096356, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0469863619601347, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.01992642706859 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 19746214.252276737, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.409231221550506, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5576948110953217 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 21641190.678272218, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.596656866907981, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.186609781965612 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 30188666.664474156, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.49632953783646, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.342875415778504 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 31467620.732746374, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.236537116683214, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.80461996577478 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 26246167.557331912, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.593098092035994, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.641991924057145 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 22087070.48546779, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.846492874736938, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.891714095218463 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 18990014.708638407, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.02203057606528, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.494080558519595 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 21990426.75492987, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.79994587853899, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.72658194891249 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 19655057.242117908, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.619937206486519, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.813955531285529 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 8682604.195361579, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.82508822840755, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.961426194784462 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 10421439.853767082, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.02666042676948, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.035298053771825 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 12075894.635795373, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.875491345183445, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.987719333082161 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 15117702.792925704, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.189091565222842, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.30359342928687 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 16964353.17363881, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.215152037366694, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.634991732122863 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68582162.08846633, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.891495165064747, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7107952521051778, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "392020", "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22445024.213257723, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1362375679754266, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "120740", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47724747.1188972, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.002482905418054, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.637010844674225, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "620462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15811232.663386801, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.287048576789942, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0315679763096524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12454705.00744304, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.517727998314363, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1052562593897395, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "630900", "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22256819.34126115, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2403372415294167, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21193273.524154246, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9050209010492295, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37950993.46299932, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.498548965439696, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7627206901565156, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12033865.673717799, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.86517410431152, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9741022214040017, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "030617", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12720463.88560441, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.04661691766745, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1079247274899924, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "distance_km": 3210, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "importer_population": 6769.151, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-LBN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-LBN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-LBN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-LBN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-LBN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }