{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.244Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KAZ", "country_name": "Kazakhstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "all_history_lane_count": 101, "current_lane_count": 46, "current_product_count": 46, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 220785774.11061224, "attention_trade_usd": 206728608.13906658, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 177882509.52367696, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5389244.742379684, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 212149691.53571734, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 33, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 12, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 34, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6849703544177685, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.229966992957559, "product_concentration_hhi": 2611.3969363981605, "top1_product_share_pct": 43.80285338968608, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.43700884226583, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 96710468.93895496, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1116.9407958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.628611673333332, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.81116875340996, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.992773317241381, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.8183954361685797, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041, "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.63311969343499, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041, "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1264782.6368026312, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 193264.73630906836, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.71952961042845, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 276297.7572583767, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.963358207532586, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 6102756.4471774325, "yoy_growth_pct": 2108.7607614818635, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.98054809820373 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 6566131.084028122, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.592874479941014, "cagr_3y_pct": 223.8811281534335 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 6303632.820890067, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.997761539920708, "cagr_3y_pct": 183.6206509507183 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 5081184.048738577, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.392766153833197, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.9238297713055 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 4862527.449351167, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.303260761469419, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.527309474199475 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 8607505.053451044, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.01709950448897, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.941864250310163 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 8127617.284697713, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.575224943503554, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.94978822999067 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 11183259.703668924, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.59579606097137, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.99843479811786 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 11864338.530154238, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.0901637316163715, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.289813490804557 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 9386102.277671546, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.888111428918187, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.915747448544527 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 6359379.921365676, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.246850362009084, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.15198253669179 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 9786111.9688054, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.884688284260164, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.217411234504954 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 11179034.46695965, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.233666062624106, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.000115291106178 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 18412457.405785136, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.705256614105, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.527607362311606 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 12666390.470830426, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.207496144155723, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.9801907823861 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 22212804.138573207, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.36806708846791, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.718646686709533 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 17533935.694476508, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.063835141695154, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6164359201734868 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 21688809.521147147, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.696184924297945, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.63574201063272 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 27629723.738829587, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.39161046109928, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.545205008087907 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 66350293.35037244, "yoy_growth_pct": 140.14099445057676, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.83122305904587 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 77145497.01713736, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.270016486226012, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.64817704773708 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 78470694.09835166, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7177892844736142, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.615345806017466 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 63339742.813308775, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.282295714217113, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5359225676321087 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 169687862.8521893, "yoy_growth_pct": 167.9010922926181, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.050911231103015 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 129728178.53337279, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.548934877931938, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.243045976849317 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 94965060.61452228, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.796890476580337, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.453528129302672 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 240698671.8566544, "yoy_growth_pct": 153.46024137623328, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.35894118845473 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106371896.96303856, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7378634175446779, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "100640", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45991482.23174778, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0559037617687554, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "080450", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: guavas, mangoes and mangosteens, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27022001.02105344, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.023720519482175, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0201882141250795, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "120740", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21410497.953609876, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9732119217203119, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "020110", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15547757.731293691, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.98700150835736, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "300449", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing alkaloids or their derivatives: other than ephedrine, pseudoephedrine (INN) or norephedrine or their salts: for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30499339.944696095, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.753215385955606, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9845967064732464, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "080521", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19910155.61285182, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.319896253556614, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7619125041692135, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1162507712.4228716, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.774280292682604, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6475749106092311, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 188191323.72486472, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8187244793589405, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "392321", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: sacks and bags (including cones), for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52289517.95764999, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.8533772213180697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "distance_km": 2224, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548, "importer_population": 19002.586, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.628611673333332, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.81116875340996, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.992773317241381, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.8183954361685797 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-KAZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-KAZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-KAZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-KAZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }