{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.214Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 169, "current_lane_count": 111, "current_product_count": 111, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 168224554.42677802, "attention_trade_usd": 118083609.86056297, "critical_trade_usd": 16341920.469179204, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 92318699.0646896, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 55926722.06786114, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 16054793.468333686, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 100104644.45981008, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 168224554.42677802, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 28, "high_volatility_lane_count": 54, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 44, "declining_demand_lane_count": 10, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 79, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9417853550627021, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.94610644240963, "product_concentration_hhi": 389.8600120746163, "top1_product_share_pct": 9.714349088255272, "top3_product_share_pct": 25.107311728731617, "top_product_hs6": "520512", "top_product_trade_usd": 16341920.469179204, "top_product_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 714.29 but not less than 232.56 decitex (exceeding 14 but not exceeding 43 metric number), not for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "520512", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5980.150390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012000000104308128, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9783297279095353, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7090602010402018, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.351164237190102, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.19403930831064, "critical_trade_share_pct": 9.714349088255272, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 549765612.1971277, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 530810487.27987945, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.447855685533774, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 319974788.9087128, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.71958041966863, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 203010179.76821715, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.554320276109344, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.256909414291865 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 181018391.7204929, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.832849895917995, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.13477386001022 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 172939356.43431324, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.463101903288558, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.543447437104234 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 161317513.14788777, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.720184188287847, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.376490110321643 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 119910134.7721583, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.66824740086916, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.827855579719882 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 131964086.61644784, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.052487946238497, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.619406885894454 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 155860213.93159673, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.108053431690642, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.140612235092775 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 141543210.6995042, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.185797241607741, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.684440006706248 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 197821098.27567106, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.760216896340324, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.447317417975647 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 224077556.94420052, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.272830298384108, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.863720966217972 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 383091575.6715641, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.9638309591893, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.359908662957885 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 210445101.4811683, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.06663292914872, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0834653184930607 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 317954109.31254095, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.0864862497135, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.371288439793515 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 394704017.18578786, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.138674615399825, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0003739130409306 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 340722457.24671173, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.676465804417415, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.423218331601454 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 397903897.5343396, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.78241016154203, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.763391342292936 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 259585101.3113429, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.76186010745462, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.036687881887122 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 211401749.68550843, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.56167837923949, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.70911788309348 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 213989843.32560006, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.224253651609697, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.67857331379189 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 307005519.54532295, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.46733226875317, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.752052921591511 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 281392958.6294534, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.342703725262623, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.002245205617122 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 236758237.1731038, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.862060541154454, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4278060372072705 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 194622365.6678233, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.797003394003653, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.095577776215729 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 244060835.40943253, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.402255065581514, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.633695034978603 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 278916440.1754371, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.281523173323297, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.61436818704284 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 204488364.49922574, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.684721642581, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.661992685001401 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 210244552.9425338, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8149222364824755, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.849979445587394 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "520512", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 714.29 but not less than 232.56 decitex (exceeding 14 but not exceeding 43 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39063254.73447099, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.92419104731921, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.33793892221867, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "261000", "hs_description": "Chromium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22246779.35719821, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0271999327258905, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "030617", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1223034907.0837374, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.907131414593643, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7466329529354576, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "520812", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, unbleached, plain weave, weighing more than 100g/m2 but not more than 200g/m2", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30452345.874831535, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.52739048245768, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6550778413509598, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer demand is declining in both recent and longer-term observations", "risk_driver_labels": [ "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2977057388.3605924, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4182216279916378, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1345857572.1363373, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.947245878638242, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1195050200294276, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "220710", "hs_description": "Undenatured ethyl alcohol: of an alcoholic strength by volume of 80% vol. or higher", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 236996115.4873769, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.47253823683087, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.063753150105427, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "050610", "hs_description": "Animal products: ossein and bones treated with acid", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21631705.245690506, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4627394942728029, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1398912092.4697602, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.49728484233181, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4171019740043662, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "130232", "hs_description": "Mucilages and thickeners: whether or not modified, derived from locust beans, locust bean seeds or guar seeds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33939837.45538589, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.40858017040975, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5476014478133919, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 6933, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9783297279095353, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7090602010402018, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.351164237190102 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }