{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.228Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Pakistan exports to Iraq: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Iraq, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PAK",
    "country_name": "Pakistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRQ",
    "country_name": "Iraq"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
    "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 224,
    "current_lane_count": 39,
    "current_product_count": 39,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 51585171.37799998,
    "attention_trade_usd": 20124829.772,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 36987561.58500001,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9552757.9,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 25325323.091000002,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 27,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 12,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 28,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.419300173190763,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.597867785647683,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1009.0146041189151,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 20.07705217475918,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 45.23484859246128,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 10356781.771999994,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 2655.29541015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 26.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 207889.333724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5048,
    "buyer_population_latest": 41179.352,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.660252055014901,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3781431650274456,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2510857061887046,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.198,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.338,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 39.012819448696895,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 207889.333724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5048,
    "buyer_population_2024": 41179.352
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 2569524.315660597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 322879590.0359993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12465.73397917001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 213161147.44499853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.98122581200248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 160063530.83906788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.909612864432205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 296.4117817342446
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 136360316.96528518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.808628642344857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.97330721004082
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 3609174.999999997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.35320723776344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -74.32167860021902
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 935734440.696841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25826.546667779803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.14411286820808
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 17521478.999999993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.12751585941929,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.5384112193842
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 38455868.999999985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.47844128911723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 120.04840742446365
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 40037123.999999985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.111869114178646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.02400435265459
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 31951523.499999993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.195258031021403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.172539921588896
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 89745403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 180.8798866820858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.642651310373274
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 127937435.99999997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.555976933994025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.29169384187317
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 61109650.00000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.234739173606684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.128852850726812
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 42196596.5,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.949372971371957,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.24021156814778
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 24496460.020754416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.946834454398676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.36292996740213
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 47227872.14697089,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.79468179058314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.230958812403111
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 29251118.084024496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.0638661996111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.497606519528702
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 18584877.348791514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.46438643676445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.794970095712419
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 22114337.85099999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.991034678192165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.346949615535827
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 23474063.20899998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.148614383850992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.071570082065182
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 66066312.0895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 181.44387062981968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.61836211021751
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 26098638.413999986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.49629896301132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.677201367973761
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 44289818.34199982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.70164358551982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.56777018244014
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 55014676.36099999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.215177258538965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.919525464815423
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 47753363.55999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.19886488716594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.3100204680744
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 79202724.44599974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.85789678769964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.379517643789512
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 941672742.1029301,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0848824971111695,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "300439",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing hormones (but not insulin), adrenal cortex hormones or antibiotics, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67212496.01588894,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5289964686332324,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1644010326.1168513,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.52228020294768,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6639817712149145,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "841451",
      "hs_description": "Fans: table, floor, wall, window, ceiling or roof fans, with a self-contained electric motor of an output not exceeding 125W",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 191836927.5737544,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.900642181590023,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6750923812995361,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "030389",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14025230.621324437,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6798882705338793,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 180914356.59196326,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7397652552660068,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 234073262.45793474,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.845738805076491,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "390761",
      "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 163093137.96303314,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.3815800204596,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0575463552528206,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "170490",
      "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 117318972.19903472,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.06573349881375135,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9325057624543502,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71553720.32026237,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4134983084897457,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
    "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
    "distance_km": 2391,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982,
    "importer_population": 41179.352,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 26.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IRQ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IRQ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IRQ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IRQ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IRQ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}