{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.220Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "all_history_lane_count": 212, "current_lane_count": 76, "current_product_count": 76, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 516844178.9324822, "attention_trade_usd": 466672851.3040894, "critical_trade_usd": 12192034.133438151, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 463451192.0712312, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 67087743.06276404, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 477148341.108842, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 12, "high_volatility_lane_count": 44, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 30, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 55, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.26731925765426, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.71998343855664, "product_concentration_hhi": 5794.238177257674, "top1_product_share_pct": 75.77991086400874, "top3_product_share_pct": 84.00983048219864, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 391664058.10085285, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5671.57958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.928697933939393, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272724, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.266148781136365, "tariff_advantage_pp": 13.680016646136362, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292, "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.29275559763113, "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.358938076582431, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292, "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 91688391.15867926, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 170255737.25227895, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.6895241597469, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 103174589.02193652, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.40022774735864, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 102995389.24702752, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.17368595950588706, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9523895715024127 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 104232564.52616437, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2011948187016008, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.0883612658114 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 101970332.14101386, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.170370071421046, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3905912903053532 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 152780186.77330607, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.82807603492721, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.046794850300559 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 72632607.64429365, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.459406433332035, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.343740422176495 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 49685660.7047165, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.593175136924835, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.310084587084543 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 48720155.88605606, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9432262849405801, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.680101752528557 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 63970473.555390775, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.301865505113113, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.144734061025157 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 51428503.94368921, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.605872701320116, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1558352705711483 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 57559814.40564084, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.922008209037172, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.7150708627650815 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 65132447.10192931, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.156110342750438, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6018444571794346 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 78304837.46110475, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.224006536344707, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.043362593910503 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 97279759.84594354, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.23212026238344, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.11534189205819 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 201666131.28899732, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.3053342322849, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.75110539342555 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 245303081.8855093, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.638214764966236, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.32037450366542 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 150112914.88530704, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.80512477402568, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.55760248061231 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 148574300.3024621, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0249714916404806, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.682846368924004 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 160480764.5493208, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.01381142136961, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.18928629818995 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 147550117.1267667, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.057443805721698, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5723518438168762 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 212741988.225747, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.182866383610595, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.711917962232855 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 569491748.5296206, "yoy_growth_pct": 167.69127866066364, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.52984082966208 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 337116534.1707335, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.80396510728386, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.708407373892335 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 186065797.6213748, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.80668292373304, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.367734303706361 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 164756488.90323427, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.452566237618168, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.8619025897363 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 171386808.26252702, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.024314552604302, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.18844375450174 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 303095655.24981797, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.84888254966617, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.662404894060945 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 547144207.4552507, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.51865738698322, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.19459591153874 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1944227508.6231184, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6104294637840404, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "100640", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 213335645.29982147, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.76256262675686, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9543399685570692, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 726228445.0158358, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7632487804370867, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "080521", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 159721094.6494301, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.25937302066237, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1662481914486464, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "720720", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight 0.25% or more of carbon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 522406942.46205616, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.74392414309031, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4722267004846126, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "720719", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, other than rectangular or square cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118009236.42066571, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.3101125377755, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7310071845234196, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "520932", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, dyed, 3-thread or 4-thread twill, including cross twill, weighing more than 200g/m2", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36166019.32133694, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8939380657361286, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "310390", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: phosphatic, n.e.s. in heading no. 3103", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89751978.08569895, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3618397192294034, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "411310", "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, including parchment-dressed leather, without hair on, whether or not split, other than leather of heading 41.14, of goats and kids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11898343.66466786, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.087745727436104, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5811994935343413, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "520942", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22277873.203559685, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.530067435431835, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3624148468092006, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "distance_km": 5513, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "importer_population": 276361.786, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.928697933939393, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272724, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.266148781136365, "tariff_advantage_pp": 13.680016646136362 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IDN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IDN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IDN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IDN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-IDN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }