{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:24.674Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 20255.436054215836, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 20255.436054215836, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 20255.436054215836, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20255.436054215836, "access_friction_trade_usd": 20255.436054215836, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 1, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1834323196318581, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 85.19692652088314, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "901890", "top_product_trade_usd": 20255.436054215836, "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8198.6083984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348, "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348, "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 584436.8086925651, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 746850.4210970738, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.789764434557405, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 846060.3452460071, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.283774280156457, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 415900.67112675897, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.84267056555778, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.720718428783805 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 316620.09071700164, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.87122390083819, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.87780318764994 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1104390.1289806499, "yoy_growth_pct": 248.8060806500638, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.288313809359838 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3568370.0274386355, "yoy_growth_pct": 223.10774370396035, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.71991248584737 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1228316.3892218843, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.57766207604972, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.1293301910067 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 308490.41741251206, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.88510125571676, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.63081746923158 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1879177.0690730833, "yoy_growth_pct": 509.1524932394434, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.245647272835008 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1237641.5510360321, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.13917339644278, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.25242308892607923 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1695455.9000758256, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.990867723902475, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.47435636003515 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2079213.857587492, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.63449951688532, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4293556051518514 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3119052.543312166, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.01114637294677, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.08469047697489 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3899981.8044996243, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.037387166237934, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.005500358948666 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2416562.012226592, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.03658239024421, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1395856292718145 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 1583439.9481735756, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.47550941535273, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.226318388435025 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4172278.4848195463, "yoy_growth_pct": 163.49458276785776, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2751760744865956 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4763017.788021422, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.158673860127656, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.37994829701269 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 6270972.677912653, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.659652703452167, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.213827485709245 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 5694905.401917953, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.186250771330883, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.927121142132057 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 7346762.9234808115, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.005881660589814, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.541483855301696 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4792225.752287119, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.77092153102148, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.574477012506454 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2969590.971257571, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.03315776932429, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.51096759595251 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 3485621.3547903076, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.37715357190106, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.005964103461995 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13787780.260449572, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.19692652088314, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1834323196318581, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "distance_km": 7053, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "importer_population": 2397.24, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BWA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BWA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BWA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BWA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BWA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }