{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.209Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Pakistan exports to Bahrain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Bahrain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PAK",
    "country_name": "Pakistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BHR",
    "country_name": "Bahrain"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
    "importer_iso3": "BHR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 43,
    "current_lane_count": 25,
    "current_product_count": 25,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 38889380.62279873,
    "attention_trade_usd": 34303788.22123655,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 26270064.030127004,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 11338419.687698198,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 33252935.03715184,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 15,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0022314761745972,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.837171528864054,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2574.522910703906,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 44.6258365936183,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 71.92179204670393,
    "top_product_hs6": "020110",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17354711.449000422,
    "top_product_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "020110",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2317.702880859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.3,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38868.663032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 22232,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1748.295,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.09682223752612,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6976782015584613,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3757875899532923,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.208000000000006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 45.017999999999994,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.20862577874561,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38868.663032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 22232,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1748.295
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 33932694.92268346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 41812091.09089257,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.22066133020828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 23115978.786915097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.7146072253005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 30540865.64898082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.12014914232666,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4495438358357666
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 31223153.103187785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2340147854641224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.27542197120983
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 34487321.361934096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.454319741375029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.265658182489659
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 35777415.56813544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7407782200948425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.416649237049809
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 36655580.89461274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4545242090080466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.492386168940788
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 41657793.131872065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.646522890036916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.499016792861623
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 40319315.55418233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.213030448955012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.064210851214001
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 45991411.329236306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.067936662842516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.856306393476342
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 62210186.433273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.264791045293656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.302329450239682
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 107801238.50580639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.28550947429582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.79384263549892
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 81475785.65111266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.420362158710994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.999601502381626
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 68440551.85562913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.99890530826138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.232711182726189
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 79291976.8547843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.855256430493924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.731720480683192
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 82874110.04117192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.517648983513123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5688398629984937
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 75126413.76005079,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.348753521783914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1556575379030116
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 100594074.72540908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.89974270128273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.254938656924882
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 101007063.926945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4105502264057481,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.817962521057952
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 80838370.57950579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.967606782458848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.472727934482899
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 70322562.99832797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.008435852668942,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.248827999011123
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 54060664.47039366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.124723893127964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.80862854864489
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 69266558.83679332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.127464794161327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.0193026654751005
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 78874282.33527684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.87065224522177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.899528480413883
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 77002098.62633243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.373630102884716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.514128535014324
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 67139979.6836335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.807597609198629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.034034860884625
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 78478671.84261848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.88813760804424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.16747062650965816
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 68921778.95193239,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.177694482204714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6279037636106515
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "export_value_usd": 69642436.10859202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0456160122654934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2272836279804578
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "020110",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17556831.86440956,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.782379128340984,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0868704202859314,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69376272.27857028,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.89648165518896,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47776220274938297,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "392020",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13828345.411083037,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.697852564687004,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4391333687383232,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "070310",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, alliaceous: onions and shallots, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13790485.687194034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.32112531438092,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1670192778254769,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "080450",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: guavas, mangoes and mangosteens, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10667126.286213448,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.77097165401445,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8072278789612279,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "020410",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, lamb carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11203818.464731677,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.337695303315298,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4314351842678894,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40257776.87039485,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.4489245292424,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7918434840648945,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "020421",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, carcasses and half-carcasses (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses of lamb), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12778729.498412386,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.21765759307064,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8724604407087221,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25829573.580317836,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.92155537022491,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6252584829536271,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
      "importer_iso3": "BHR",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46368715.48281164,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.203829718037874,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6497808812281426,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PAK",
    "importer_iso3": "BHR",
    "distance_km": 1663,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894,
    "importer_population": 1748.295,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.3,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BHR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BHR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BHR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BHR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-BHR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}