{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.154Z", "seo": { "title": "Pakistan exports to Afghanistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Pakistan to Afghanistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AFG", "country_name": "Afghanistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "all_history_lane_count": 72, "current_lane_count": 47, "current_product_count": 47, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1274185032.5989995, "attention_trade_usd": 1270602782.7679992, "critical_trade_usd": 106477926.12400001, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1007781567.5609994, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 126831985.29700002, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1268107608.1559997, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1274185032.5989995, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 30, "high_volatility_lane_count": 35, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 46, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2078520611552994, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.434739941628546, "product_concentration_hhi": 1297.0212559775448, "top1_product_share_pct": 28.2647327381016, "top3_product_share_pct": 53.3426995751648, "top_product_hs6": "100630", "top_product_trade_usd": 360144994.053, "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 374.6521911621094, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03839999809861183, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.992957229292929, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.881632622222226, "tariff_advantage_pp": -2.8325671498989937, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517, "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.71885952672875, "critical_trade_share_pct": 8.356551317104493, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 20116.137326, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 517, "buyer_population_2024": 39835.426 }, "history": [ { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 288651303.26779205, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 305923132.78892195, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.983631227573638, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 435354674.0976724, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.308517217641864, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 473015290.20486003, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.65055972701889, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.896402249003973 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 438254480.663596, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.348770803203708, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.729612892376242 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 440995725.448687, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6254915593653099, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4300601461277642 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 452588143.9267843, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6286918011059424, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.460732149103261 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 742813207.2606664, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.12564430340714, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.229690696481462 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 779087712.6355342, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.883395316655759, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.888222437092608 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 836929064.7731428, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.424241352997374, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.74255495075954 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1264938452.0111303, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.14046162968462, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.41620331466256 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1140681252.8696778, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.823181431783933, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.551440938401328 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1281815741.0182204, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.372824379596171, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.268944592647827 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1961125356.4146729, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.9958865114917, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.738714250668085 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1935366919.4164195, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.313451835906343, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.270489921559864 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1847970865.4513247, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.515735651379627, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.968277408193863 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1943895746.1154366, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.190822131315609, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2937142748907995 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1727551812.3135295, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.129400032601321, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7156012789570814 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1450149561.4915373, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.057535805568477, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.762846500784182 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1678270153.581019, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.730832056719057, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.779680597963376 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1389748217.082803, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.19162650200151, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.995988464378266 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1248598295.4825578, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.156510356712722, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.865805060063433 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 666462386.077324, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.62315426117494, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.497080254802064 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 830836252.8221818, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.663637465323784, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.758432822385892 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 976006809.8983457, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.472824107403717, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.8822397364870955 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 969029717.5523281, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7148610312200931, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.288845428361306 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "export_value_usd": 1512819134.0280452, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.11689782324474, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.111675470266757 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 362053998.404, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0226024185386657, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 234147089.65, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1194463682847882, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 173830555.2863886, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2724110768243704, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85026529.32077454, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.09869370439748, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6755953434846643, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "300439", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing hormones (but not insulin), adrenal cortex hormones or antibiotics, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66519438.94499973, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9439792041632027, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "070190", "hs_description": "Vegetables: potatoes (other than seed), fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52473773.99199999, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.149669802084377, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9597666016735011, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92558843.79640564, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.31828314420467, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.761714776627117, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "761290", "hs_description": "Aluminium: casks, drums, cans, boxes and the like for any material (not compressed or liquefied gas), 300l capacity or less, whether or not lined or heat-insulated, no mechanical or thermal equipment", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76427589.70599999, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6319123181599555, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "080529", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: tangelos, wilkings and similar citrus hybrid, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29107622.171, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.287368476434985, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8164070316861558, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "hs_code": "151620", "hs_description": "Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: partly or wholly hydrogenated, inter-esterified, re-esterified or elaidinised, whether or not refined, but not further prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27821306.915000007, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.07540701668975, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5672494649469841, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PAK", "importer_iso3": "AFG", "distance_km": 1086, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211, "importer_population": 39835.426, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.992957229292929, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.881632622222226, "tariff_advantage_pp": -2.8325671498989937 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-AFG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-AFG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-AFG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-AFG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PAK-AFG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }