{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.790Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to Paraguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Paraguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRY",
    "country_name": "Paraguay"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "PRY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 329687.89121669397,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 175201.53532193648,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 91008.89763856053,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 17862.094961253977,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 329687.89121669397,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 5,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9781015136677873,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.05048959287618,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2387.6582365744785,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 33.02567410243669,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 75.32831645188058,
    "top_product_hs6": "220421",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 108881.64850842133,
    "top_product_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 10635.0908203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00699999975040555,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38986.810989,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5400,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7219.641,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2296186225791113,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9651940186437677,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.240055114987726,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.45,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.94,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38986.810989,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5400,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7219.641
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 247386.94187425644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 29373.700083773638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.12641449009709,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 15292.902967577114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.93674980012107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 204710.77702658702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1238.5998555055226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.116779639562253
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 157973.23334391756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.83101278864248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.20303173955716
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 315627.3224631971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.7979757596382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 174.30152328181202
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 213212.38955580816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.44805681210655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.365595689445387
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 183330.9124727096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.014887758329397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.087420270040588
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 172363.28740504105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.982419942027606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.26211565667386
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 124478.81989115837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.781129168973028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.421544432273027
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 182042.25402360817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.24355708286922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.23485577065154306
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 836200.529164182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 359.34419657083527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.2863299620011
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 758113.3240647699,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.338334810367034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.61911020657098
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 533114.1208560062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.678835085286114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.07024711097929
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 410171.05251916463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.061304048640718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.13490035758637
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 787080.5723452466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.89081421304626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2577690000187713
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 631423.7392410374,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.77648014362773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.803550045307881
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 379477.55759796675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.90128434922426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.559307184782744
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 778400.9206463931,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.1243624454496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3689479966836662
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 714862.2504504218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.162717760303783,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.223859815408493
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1418623.6992975883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.44714116653091,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.20071035924672
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 2097842.7217678553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.87873082950558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.162811703038216
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 820660.5042137823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.88074212149659,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.708126636610577
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 3098186.073268884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 277.5234774137255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.741852761938326
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 841227.60026845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.84773798686423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.25823481354288
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 5423078.375655166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 544.6624402152961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.65527750807642
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 2734188.4316885695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.582354480387714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.0804834109715244
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 1413453.631007098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.30445427149355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.88380158124199
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 816043.5421926833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.26598423244735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.81091935315169
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 832888.1475800085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.064179730172766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.714820788437
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33048359.773803048,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3044182125391615,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "870829",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13955474.391198456,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.76339743417192,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5915491868953925,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "841989",
      "hs_description": "Machinery, plant and laboratory equipment: for treating materials by change of temperature, other than for making hot drinks or cooking or heating food",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11966799.656635188,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5619692511287455,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "300212",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: antisera and other blood fractions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12224646.480146369,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.3683597879634224,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.32983028463418707,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "392410",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tableware and kitchenware",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15695031.349576352,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.92417476627362,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7079055634538702,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "PRY",
    "distance_km": 11212,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693,
    "importer_population": 7219.641,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 52.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PRY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PRY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PRY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PRY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PRY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}