{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.516Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 85,
    "current_lane_count": 40,
    "current_product_count": 40,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 86721071.65387219,
    "attention_trade_usd": 73585804.58845074,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 74219033.58191217,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10815910.156117637,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 52948779.04034282,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 86721071.65387219,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 10,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 26,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 12,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 40,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3232019283367793,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.276874450541227,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3530.5053822224463,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.76088285609556,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 72.90910557748276,
    "top_product_hs6": "030479",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 50090856.609543815,
    "top_product_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae and Muraenolepididae other than cod, haddock, coalfish, hake, and Alaska pollack",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030479",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 17914.16015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.28427156805992126,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.8534308733546,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 5137796.304992092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 4737318.287489695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.794742993475168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 5052947.235616305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.662608019396177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 6125836.973876483,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.2329495684773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.038323043549476
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 6333813.8699761145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3950772275942898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.165153517692293
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 9487793.060878381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.795893211401875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.3692184555925
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 6867271.270484625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.619929878099047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.88182948281226
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 7518699.870077788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.485989033125698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.8828975326006505
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 14487487.496483348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.68607268311486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.153185606339314
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 15249749.491704095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.261519607218124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.46464457410547
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 16622349.06068978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.000800765497052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.271640729286297
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 15262508.14169157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.180798718841142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7523101672813013
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 20221163.78342593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.4891269226526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.862078793025852
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 23783280.220518973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.615783518912465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.683359122214943
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 11248614.644162096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.70368704457605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.67158768861216
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 11685387.853594637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.88290668006146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.706266636256505
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 17916563.915401783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.324512116132496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.009862053903895
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 19062198.95209104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.394278736138803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.222434649386887
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 21366197.68021027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.086741586895954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.281672500034745
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 31488025.570614696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.37308922204455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.67859226262392
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 33765819.66981196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.233842255650824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.995188250932205
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 71413948.43841931,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.49774871973963,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.51517304875836
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 50068448.59474975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.88981888051733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.71846527871812
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 101628892.26617597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.97991073930123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.38208143520197
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 65551105.29246482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.49953774879284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.815055473251349
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 59006513.14986351,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.983953914128152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6278902909345785
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 84343565.01927894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.93941552700278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.025161660783185
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 91248853.27881238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.187095551338208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.656102836388227
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 113305521.9518519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.17199546129638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.294060114917215
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 95855832.36025858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.40056414815194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.357146717936122
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "030479",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae and Muraenolepididae other than cod, haddock, coalfish, hake, and Alaska pollack",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77115631.72742586,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3210075813634754,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "350110",
      "hs_description": "Casein",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65724711.51101285,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.89088773413752,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5719490188278222,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "190110",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118096527.46357152,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.42634361248391,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8324976331812649,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "081050",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: kiwifruit, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54700480.63028955,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6725484031869043,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "350400",
      "hs_description": "Peptones and their derivatives: other protein substances and their derivatives n.e.c. or included, hide powder, whether or not chromed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93909899.1392863,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.296695171882373,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "901920",
      "hs_description": "Therapeutic respiration apparatus: ozone, oxygen, aerosol therapy apparatus: artificial respiration or other therapeutic respiration apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53634479.49542193,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.469505989913895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9451700774122014,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 314388056.6153766,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.884045232038311,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.107151416453765,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "040900",
      "hs_description": "Honey: natural",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53798188.24936262,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.385609983467006,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8544270847941338,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "030389",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18207658.70127679,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.099853499355857,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 330479821.0640883,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.02637228506734645,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1271305523713444,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 17344,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}