{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.594Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PAK",
    "country_name": "Pakistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "PAK",
    "all_history_lane_count": 72,
    "current_lane_count": 24,
    "current_product_count": 24,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 13016439.837183066,
    "attention_trade_usd": 6649933.972610489,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4757128.518114517,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4258571.915067757,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8034376.633797669,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 13016439.837183066,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 24,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9491034034300215,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.08833397036637,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1023.1158681238476,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 23.197795877658532,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 42.47990991711214,
    "top_product_hs6": "410221",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3019527.143967956,
    "top_product_description": "Skins: raw, of sheep or lambs, pickled (but not tanned, parchment-dressed or further preserved), without wool on",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "410221",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 13410.3408203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.09800000488758087,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538,
    "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 51.08873129512828,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538,
    "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 13465085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 13104562.999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6774580331279108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 10337021.502473736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.118914820175704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 13321457.039951771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.871329490451725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.35682826251701716
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 13695538.787639303,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8081143569028466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4811841928339398
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 13436894.693088215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8885280715244535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.135949516392849
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 11688657.2097507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.010725493270314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.264950846846283
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 14277968.761364087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.152343978856504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.397932942201252
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 15839205.516370555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.934585872124503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.635889459732191
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 17635970.62658439,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.343783047431222,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.69511331835831
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 28699583.780424155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.733225111877445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.203013047809563
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 45975839.18753975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.19688487224557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.64791352618107
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 62780304.72347466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.55064449696703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.68909376990152
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 54813996.464798465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.689183803367953,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.071478164217265
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 59526596.02884113,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.597438369722044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.99179233970171
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 56219212.82710795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.556143677576864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6125597286600364
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 59691327.699292436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.176028972270298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.88212450732781
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 59258164.75842722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7256714795277563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1505409868832186
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 54161984.97813468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.599962217979085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2349539264554732
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 58491861.33453439,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.9943088462280265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.674353400193306
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 49973967.69751796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.562527918712941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.521741762401112
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 64489319.15629978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.045825511874934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.989881477344561
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 97438388.40868695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.092288899081176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.5436286169955
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 59061158.027093746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.38615058022834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.727032330848414
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 47000786.33037591,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.420140917631947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.007611777188474
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 44469116.529625565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.386441373458817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.00849608178427
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 54546806.62369862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.662222415323342,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6156602560852615
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 39438489.142873526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.69789546994503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.679727146386549
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 15952432.202316139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.551107182312734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.945846687599687
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 22151274.627298992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.858290362035454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.946919315294558
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "410221",
      "hs_description": "Skins: raw, of sheep or lambs, pickled (but not tanned, parchment-dressed or further preserved), without wool on",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13465221.536804253,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.523537831207737,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8617175898905692,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "071310",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 148726825.79161683,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.78431126005404,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6748813780513638,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62516459.81081427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.63217997978374,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7277462261237339,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30491979.05833886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.830819839436895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.011689740875737,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "170211",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: lactose and lactose syrup, containing by weight 99% or more lactose, expressed as anhydrous lactose, calculated on the dry matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20227916.246709377,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.07047998650665,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.707255577992353,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "040210",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content not exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35036081.44237929,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.54253631397587,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9259292726635233,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "740400",
      "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71012148.62776533,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2161237204217419,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149603477.06851515,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.199690717689194,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0316657946913605,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "720421",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of stainless steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14455824.381197136,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.58302093530268,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.293075239354558,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "721070",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78124544.15910904,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.19640414600783,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1786587294663844,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "PAK",
    "distance_km": 13144,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764,
    "importer_population": 225199.936,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PAK/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PAK/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PAK/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PAK/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-PAK/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}