{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.802Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to Nepal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Nepal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NPL",
    "country_name": "Nepal"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "NPL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 14,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 193437.9142539235,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 30894.630553704523,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 162543.28370021898,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 193437.9142539235,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 193437.9142539235,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.749925061485034,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 75.48232749725845,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7315.899150929831,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 84.02865814963786,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "150210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 162543.28370021898,
    "top_product_description": "Tallow: other than those of heading 1503",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12085.0517578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.18838176909091,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.18838176909091,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 22.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36288.830373000004,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1223,
    "buyer_population_latest": 29674.919,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.652648953830973,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7645171101378105,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8559109302753942,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.022,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36288.830373000004,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1223,
    "buyer_population_2024": 29674.919
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 32479713.192228068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 29734072.641272213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.453401465419486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 28657593.951067097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6203540066385487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 13779139.938121289,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.9180153028576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.860210331111343
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 13308034.769687602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.418973684491944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.507326026526787
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 19358597.642108314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.46548740767038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.257220156209314
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 10439063.005630812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.075313932223914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.8381487348682
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 13209384.876053128,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.538031899299863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2477066467092781
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 16375861.75276122,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.971418097208264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.424911437308433
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 8805142.175074525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.23096904448498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.515997012053453
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 11634865.630138913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.13716938125917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.142464456497919
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 11789410.875899302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3282942035879985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.374970121134798
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 6758101.142637529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.67651527479723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.442040594939538
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 5764949.954815791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.695713586703363,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.8693518172576
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 9865996.434021136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.13759028869812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.764121513831711
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 7969179.539016809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.225801546648547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.648412271431846
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 8979080.330929011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.67258175032655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.916547766050805
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 5517903.121487093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.54712377970018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.609392386997026
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 4742595.966681711,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.050756922249729,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.886151198579679
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 7932751.649404844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.2660227675944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.045797477458358
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 6826223.910247208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.948851395601858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.350025716334341
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 6994182.857919133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4604957276568973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.82568824441317
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 5036156.496314421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.99506963687324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.05410871637114
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 6827753.155103966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.57468200403775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.007466942654832387
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 9142548.655875048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.902741475659504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.339420035423117
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 7484964.178287669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.130441958569254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.120457232974083
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 10825156.12404021,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.625356463852505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.605432914072928
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 10155033.744442176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.190417689310223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5630177239696526
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 10548016.494949028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8698320497647876,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.114131766718206
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 9728613.162412588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.76831675347508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.497420503995452
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "hs_code": "150210",
      "hs_description": "Tallow: other than those of heading 1503",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15640293.481157333,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.38808494081718,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6659230580446348,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "hs_code": "392690",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17858689.38967918,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.672084434901706,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1918776348574434,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "NPL",
    "distance_km": 11754,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36288.830373000004,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1222.8788349177971,
    "importer_population": 29674.919,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 22.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.18838176909091,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.18838176909091,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-NPL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-NPL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-NPL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-NPL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-NPL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}