{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.589Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to Mongolia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Mongolia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MNG",
    "country_name": "Mongolia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "MNG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 14,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 8159991.376318797,
    "attention_trade_usd": 7766159.270401183,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34652.37286571839,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8132627.341929984,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 8159991.376318797,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 5,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8511232040960123,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 42.0264005779285,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9070.929035202309,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 95.17362105233887,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.23999420594353,
    "top_product_hs6": "040221",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7766159.270401183,
    "top_product_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "040221",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 12213.0166015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15098.022829,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4535,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3329.282,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.866134521457948,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.199342458311088,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.5263755491780717,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 38.756,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.652,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.17362105233887,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15098.022829,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4535,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3329.282
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 8186.845771683206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 9042.915239218568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.456645836621824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 672459.4192221253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7336.312311163884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 732093.1686606704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.868007159082868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 347.18090286213317
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 54294.448202535175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.58366960289163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.75330683541699
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 205122.61880516188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 277.79667276475624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.684384087007345
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 517150.75836318324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 152.11786070964942,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.939812763585921
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1047308.8484867278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.51519146980085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 168.18827261736996
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1456437.7780297925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.06478305174459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.2026897173058
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1042774.7485192363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.402382563170125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.33522165857256
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1273991.184651171,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.17319094658432,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.7490167203474005
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1336816.9256411595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.931410966331806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8163215295236244
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2296014.293863395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.75233570312469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.0952261846819
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 8025242.336346921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 249.52928463015894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.68455510118874
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 15255193.625659402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.09013044462837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 125.13789242517457
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 13773841.703824757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.71047603973374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.70219206846008
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 16379904.94201867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.92038034290937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.84822870878325
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 11617234.88892256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.076298488635523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.68088750346151
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 7981486.82504653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.296156948180865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.630044212084638
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 8344130.053861984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.543554813339434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.134987774911817
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 6618086.443956833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.685722762749503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.10215865583188
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 6505303.995035944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7041549679949308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.589736251296586
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 10661489.7967681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.88918649925739,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.512293735582666
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 11872033.230709402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.354355320100428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.50595298836988
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 11094651.222414562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.54801071718688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.476370047843083
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 8801919.97824912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.665194409477515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.189127881382717
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 9334767.64796908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.05376634912278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.701891078337686
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 11093520.863229105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.840889046045707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.0033962238595641736
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "040221",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18846831.34938468,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.94942066815015,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8631579560645074,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "080810",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21159702.93772317,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5622752925845649,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12951176.280709958,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.523677490654286,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.17318344891582027,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "847150",
      "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22368571.150219254,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.668041254154658,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10835046.2912038,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.931856685299852,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.551431635390943,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "MNG",
    "distance_km": 11550,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15098.022829,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4534.918588752769,
    "importer_population": 3329.282,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MNG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MNG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MNG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MNG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MNG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}