{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.555Z", "seo": { "title": "New Zealand exports to Morocco: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Morocco, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NZL", "country_name": "New Zealand" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "all_history_lane_count": 39, "current_lane_count": 15, "current_product_count": 15, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 23968669.70917525, "attention_trade_usd": 21610305.2219894, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1865537.1706657563, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 20272199.190057732, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4914295.011254215, "access_friction_trade_usd": 23968669.70917525, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 15, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6528740819732379, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 63.97553256994554, "product_concentration_hhi": 4247.311972526344, "top1_product_share_pct": 63.473556286800424, "top3_product_share_pct": 80.5005837651362, "top_product_hs6": "040510", "top_product_trade_usd": 15213767.059050636, "top_product_description": "Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "040510", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 18884.431640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.002199999988079071, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 48.06984684848483, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 48.06984684848483, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 132725.261467, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3554, "buyer_population_latest": 37344.788, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.493870310126513, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4337131700827195, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0122871045357362, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.041999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.788, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.16063671534067, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 132725.261467, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3554, "buyer_population_2024": 37344.788 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 22762086.44677776, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 36063098.10239201, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.43494042918531, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 25113298.43903033, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.362892373451956, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 18504123.077382293, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.317432485795088, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.670527038494855 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 18484209.207572065, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.10761855466995263, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.971265883582912 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 15001271.027597437, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.842776235987646, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.781384050931957 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 11970989.483050648, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.20016529914073, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.512399763166405 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 13268835.80607805, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.84159605072732, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.461328121943215 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 10234891.659727387, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.865187200228267, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.965737406612808 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 11060591.295240462, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.067497565822478, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6021361712379343 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 21085711.641482048, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.63819536081714, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.69488338378724 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 28736222.512670804, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.28291518574056, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.074594082966456 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 23466531.957903083, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.33814640196404, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.49617169265106 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 40648689.46521626, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.21984150933112, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.457028711862637 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 33999826.83276735, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.35689297717321, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.766713352746611 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 50890737.52493456, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.67940211945017, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.4384422857815 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 68943456.6421836, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.47348691577496, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.256530005014106 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 50240786.28527785, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.127549542478803, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.900747481674248 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 59098561.50745017, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.630646088769364, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.110488642512578 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 65806546.966196954, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.350505473641936, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5402603729531061 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 49714516.29446008, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.453540587690938, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3503914847860279 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 55271612.492270105, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.178015219730252, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2068560958073413 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 57793259.611800924, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.562282527732431, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.235907895216751 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 45847292.91594681, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.670172916522677, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6632533498536115 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 36316622.57760346, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.78785841470774, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.063709368176424 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 27367234.95091503, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.642675974520646, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.055661265871716 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 28709961.189284, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.906327733792759, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.446134635760377 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 29763914.357825097, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6710365492743424, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.41745224663739 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 29772726.68234802, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.029607411232879244, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8480108651576685 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 26170431.77070932, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.099311393519319, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0399656185083 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "040510", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80576242.19740275, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.09892138910634, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5464943160141074, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133999586.36337031, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.93559492316533, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7502771504545706, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "071310", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11534279.323963296, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9319699882703983, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "050400", "hs_description": "Animal products: guts, bladders and stomachs of animals (other than fish), whole and pieces thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75398369.39631063, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.29238934350585, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0174856753228716, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "040490", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: natural milk constituents (excluding whey), whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, n.e.c. in chapter 04", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28389228.231146023, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.99069845281312, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8238178409206837, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 121524102.01395404, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7541361577076574, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61126635.26954361, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.57145059451507, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2759111289153673, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "481092", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: multi-ply, coated with kaolin or other inorganic substances only, for non-graphic purposes, n.e.c. in heading no. 4810, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52984553.6346661, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.91794460008961, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2627742116187077, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "030743", "hs_description": "Molluscs: cuttle fish and squid, whether in shell or not, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84208821.69143835, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.7423290565557, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8615029793488583, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "847420", "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27659519.848301414, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.563290203109844, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9069081284936332, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "distance_km": 19586, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "importer_population": 37344.788, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 48.06984684848483, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 48.06984684848483, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MAR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MAR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MAR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MAR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-MAR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }