{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.804Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 356,
    "current_lane_count": 104,
    "current_product_count": 104,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 423217520.50808984,
    "attention_trade_usd": 310946792.9442925,
    "critical_trade_usd": 96647406.69744754,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 240728414.2908332,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 122320672.65679139,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 111620567.18120578,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 423217520.50808984,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 4,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 25,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 60,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 44,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 32,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 104,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0679259443313032,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.265006747999983,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 654.529095028306,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 14.951915160980741,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 32.537269590925966,
    "top_product_hs6": "720449",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 63279124.61277587,
    "top_product_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "720449",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 12761.0390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.22540001571178436,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 73.47209835996115,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 22.836343491029954,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 77774442.28770496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 82410812.300905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.961302809538749,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 92389064.85946164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.107941033420744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 100409945.03631541,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.68163368582071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.887980017543097
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 107203837.01434834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.766154463659735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.162978869063965
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 89205312.89633092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.78906708871667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.162128724930822
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 83829056.65788907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.02683412443138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.8386629762975595
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 88358355.46711051,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.403017748017569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.241115547292919
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 101486287.56223801,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.857601214651496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.393201123878909
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 143596998.5496425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.49399096067974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.651163972136885
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 212386844.35339394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.90479362280702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.95532920520397
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 235989562.05715966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.113078955348454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.483505029242025
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 285780062.87153125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.098602997666347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.78500026224866
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 432381158.1983472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.298573404233096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.739809331741693
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 408646747.90531594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.4892332477964985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.083982971599923
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 680897242.1894219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.62245464564099,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.5620929432201
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 765111564.3567134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.368139705853531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.95374934156029
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 745461273.9468243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5682908644062308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.187190787657652
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 623184290.9263406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.402861864720563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.909149076693074
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 529090890.9509322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.098808064552138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.569549097542598
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 515431661.50814515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.581641392131584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.573588327086037
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 544085914.2147651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.559272905893686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.423674779069941
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 594699531.7487553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.302504661793499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.97344582013357
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 571719644.37911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8641172798760115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.515171851913612
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 530909701.212007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.13810406347376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8138439569636224
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 381898278.64166415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.06718774024407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.72531782094385
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 352152206.82531506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.789003899716418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.91576473021723
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 396155793.7804364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.495615845153374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.298364768330924
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 337808344.0548189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.728410045154028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.006706903929935
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 456203610.7504403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.048058693425396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.012450256643545
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "720449",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2668666223.9805694,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3275266504865813,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3388461868.8749886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9288291191182425,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270119",
      "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11736200339.628296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.42087582704629,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.791371250858169,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "080810",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 380013992.4200316,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.56830754203684,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8652413747998742,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "510121",
      "hs_description": "Wool: (not carded or combed), degreased, (not carbonised), shorn",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38430586.06962421,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.318065211365363,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.22646630425071468,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "350220",
      "hs_description": "Albumins: milk albumin, including concentrates of two or more whey proteins",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 162394675.30317026,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4131700638461455,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "440321",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, of which the smallest cross-sectional dimension is 15 cm or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 245207654.53088295,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.20301360967915,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0593577611857967,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "440322",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, of which any cross-sectional dimension is less than 15 cm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86216238.53735518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.5346289313953,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1074522452330444,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "470500",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: obtained by a combination of mechanical and chemical pulping processes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 302095270.1930618,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.83417967284315,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.165153588318592,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "081050",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: kiwifruit, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56315589.166962095,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.744206119338679,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0822014915320284,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 12484,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}