{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.812Z", "seo": { "title": "New Zealand exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NZL", "country_name": "New Zealand" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 412, "current_lane_count": 254, "current_product_count": 254, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 991850137.4802451, "attention_trade_usd": 630785448.2009779, "critical_trade_usd": 59210420.13592661, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 263206553.94330922, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 161374575.6467663, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 15451107.57085207, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 396208163.7338903, "access_friction_trade_usd": 991850137.4802451, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 47, "high_volatility_lane_count": 140, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 117, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 70, "access_friction_lane_count": 254, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7273051342098013, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.252386920934967, "product_concentration_hhi": 754.4000623364925, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.393168765725928, "top3_product_share_pct": 43.8229674195741, "top_product_hs6": "020442", "top_product_trade_usd": 152677165.56541878, "top_product_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozen", "top_attention_product_hs6": "020442", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 19147.142578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9702238440513611, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 63.59685040760923, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.969694200612633, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 853596983.5274383, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 930526106.5794094, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.012347107187058, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 885879467.3214668, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.797999641521344, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 794056413.4282769, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.365185928828991, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3813429552381304 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 862128074.4719784, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.572647974695835, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5127674500945107 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 737746097.0753158, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.427320148789025, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.917085699487512 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 720877153.4832785, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.2865513838584484, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1714783258075085 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 745477371.133646, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4125395057256647, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.730425452448439 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 855042012.1977367, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.697245725577957, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.041321736526627 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1009261787.4369158, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.036514351240342, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.870142045357902 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1064852742.8848091, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.508080870580678, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.620736450036564 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1060020141.1320063, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.453828173434645, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.425872014219892 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1300030338.4091918, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.64204121828064, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.805258650370185 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1264580429.3384333, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.726852445161976, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.897482112104702 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1136426622.3821268, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.134096968695793, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3471516494069977 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1160637371.7463021, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1304278593391013, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.710036737903888 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1291160980.7738423, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.245856130856247, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6957897124694856 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1208027957.8576112, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4386257139219305, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0575633994320386 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1179214335.1631746, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3851784643739826, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.530706163845851 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1322069045.261253, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.114397343915506, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7916561306058778 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1199606095.6896527, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.262976847582161, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.23292809557566851 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1040533631.5263029, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.260391451403809, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.084721848310902 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1037811388.4104974, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2616199066831082, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.75246603237878 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1064140054.8352972, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.536941367074852, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.915490921437925 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 977440016.293255, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.147427413157693, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0634808258125026 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 974732097.0890625, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2770419830427806, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.068528907036804 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 963517836.4488155, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1504967030158575, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.256828040701276 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 922586081.3289623, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.248157488263327, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9067942578689046 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 911617736.9852437, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.188869479574095, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.206685380077855 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1062419532.4105287, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.542218224493155, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3107297597565255 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "020442", "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 200212369.8369825, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.94778502551349, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24040655050216372, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2764736414.5876923, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.16248665199774, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48466680555067054, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "220429", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding more than 2 litres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 620183602.582738, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0251365954647524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "020443", "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 113146108.1066061, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.518775550819893, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.25376253004214827, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1299852708.5303922, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.88004168510537, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5353834650407826, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 413453315.47691417, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.44020783726302, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2669344603844024, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "040900", "hs_description": "Honey: natural", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 134714432.87460777, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.979380221754678, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7579706651772344, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "901920", "hs_description": "Therapeutic respiration apparatus: ozone, oxygen, aerosol therapy apparatus: artificial respiration or other therapeutic respiration apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 273245034.0787553, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.892839393378157, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9785676063290408, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "020422", "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38892166.826230034, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.9532611661276, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.611809854614497, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "020130", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1214644835.0732098, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0424934923996345, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 18329, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }