{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.808Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Zealand exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NZL",
    "country_name": "New Zealand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 176,
    "current_lane_count": 102,
    "current_product_count": 102,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 403415298.54563695,
    "attention_trade_usd": 268312516.1668408,
    "critical_trade_usd": 76625169.02117197,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 80058356.67944765,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 98879916.6151953,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 538886.3005123397,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 201468316.96922642,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 403415298.54563695,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 43,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 41,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 23,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 102,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8297932849922375,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.632527497104128,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1170.132049565988,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 25.459176285293978,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 49.99474251342382,
    "top_product_hs6": "081050",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 102706212.0185787,
    "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: kiwifruit, fresh",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "081050",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 19263.8828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3536413908004761,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 66.51024815720704,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 18.99411581499645,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 182738669.96963826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 191853422.31520438,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.9878618176878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 178424897.90092012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.99936662699816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 184332721.50204715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.311098210300023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.289929298174596
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 206361466.4431798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.950534208810005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4596854479861374
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 195612290.55062962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.2089065259234735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1130327672833635
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 205468342.221293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.038564623377995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.684577091904173
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 240080197.65817606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.845347104424246,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1742066812487275
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 288668032.22291297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.238168344861073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.850301328329873
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 333060713.11829895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.378454120304319,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.469782206023954
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 362778216.9191929,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.922548541574372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.752358579667257
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 340069858.2796321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.259570608292342,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6144032639994235
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 398168059.2532357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.084195955358883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.132323041064347
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 444768551.193542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.703724308701592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.028052545849173
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 394135960.21089166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.38403127801576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.041111062881165
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 409677622.28403044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.94322356803547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9544052647213697
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 445381681.9614373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.715159856266963,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.04593019899743478
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 369222450.3815006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.099767382559484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.153037903362154
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 377392341.0831023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2127285849384615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6990799943415134
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 422786597.6942473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.028399008009849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7204965499535207
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 364259046.7312151,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.843284361950946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.45011817122980746
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 346576309.4396317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.854440116248204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.799478087084273
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 336091400.812745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.025281400174018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.364227032132575
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 350558378.3484165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.30447714540958,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2698034719515805
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 341254677.36945003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6539662303320055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5144710631474703
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 285179041.64710647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.432195495341094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.32832345292773
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 281445049.9552342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3093499684639687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.058198150134176
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 288928045.76257837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.658776840642374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.3972642129217485
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 273629271.2041508,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.295011952906458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3686487874037478
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 440188269.447532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.870314608671364,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.07756345363722
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "081050",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: kiwifruit, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 269431318.78458804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8681422370643245,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "901920",
      "hs_description": "Therapeutic respiration apparatus: ozone, oxygen, aerosol therapy apparatus: artificial respiration or other therapeutic respiration apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 402488479.1355914,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.7221160165877,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9329492744169092,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 372004965.2672591,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.395188169510305,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0064999150133993,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "020422",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140836328.33700562,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.41866692441093,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48665463335669107,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "020442",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56925906.27116465,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.21125082822405,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3059428111202145,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "040590",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: fats and oils derived from milk (other than butter or dairy spreads)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 219498604.91432068,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9448407208857391,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 493785788.1737287,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8410942690562154,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "020423",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), boneless cuts, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41988827.81725042,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.59566579879262,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6403867501986905,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "050400",
      "hs_description": "Animal products: guts, bladders and stomachs of animals (other than fish), whole and pieces thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 223663921.49377018,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.392049942847592,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35883949028338585,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "220429",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding more than 2 litres",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 241925333.89050984,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.16078937155734,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1213545368098556,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NZL",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 18540,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}