{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.996Z", "seo": { "title": "New Zealand exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NZL", "country_name": "New Zealand" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "all_history_lane_count": 14, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3947878.334219597, "attention_trade_usd": 2703814.334370585, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 211071.3911770468, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27835.732614235607, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2703814.334370585, "access_friction_trade_usd": 3947878.334219597, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 6, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9274123922149506, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.884436869638761, "product_concentration_hhi": 5349.309785529805, "top1_product_share_pct": 68.48778268910523, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.23425320484786, "top_product_hs6": "440711", "top_product_trade_usd": 2703814.334370585, "top_product_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "top_attention_product_hs6": "440711", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 17411.41796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4508000314235687, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281, "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 68.48778268910523, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281, "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 116150.55098367187, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1443410.44466382, "yoy_growth_pct": 1142.7064981092778, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3364519.0068722507, "yoy_growth_pct": 133.09509913210235, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 4320433.922085373, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.411636648822714, "cagr_3y_pct": 233.8120662504502 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1069541.5875219328, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.24457943785217, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.509578560252073 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 699925.8636602783, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.55833117420269, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.74708983628889 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6550692.248983245, "yoy_growth_pct": 835.9123000150689, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.88234092809484 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1637404.345678601, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.00410210947175, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.253136782900146 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6191756.447952196, "yoy_growth_pct": 278.14462043497895, "cagr_3y_pct": 106.81749538848409 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2184396.031149673, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.72089867371771, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.6550678864836 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2564938.73692586, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.420957571320205, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.137824341201302 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2514398.454084393, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9704284595132515, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.947439668935836 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2261169.3456237586, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.07116068057108, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1580782214843266 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3852992.3005238147, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.39821930988283, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.526779422456793 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1432351.0226213369, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.824970544929236, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.103068738361983 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2244488.196069397, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.69959113526326, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.24651461454237023 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2717020.1519206394, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.05299358128736, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.991481437234496 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 4036018.6823087716, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.54577649914531, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.243314948896106 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3469284.9556134054, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.041900479290415, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.622107805801043 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3906824.5902386396, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.611810220929875, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.869608246079922 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3606834.3368538762, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.678620999117836, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6782548418592076 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 4183263.9437949955, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.98159363881182, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.4367891512713715 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 5339495.369095352, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.63945667390617, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.97507159203035 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6060495.288644128, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.503147202296994, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.88506716849847 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 5218006.978203599, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.901311201728728, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.645644603138635 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 5397506.032037768, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4399925983993995, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.36084456975098433 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7385867.046120178, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.8385139781257, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8147239757685 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 8076362.2379024895, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.34887112739229, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.674343839721994 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7652544.602261625, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.24763034589858, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.34081693797162 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7730287.6388021875, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0159109235062358, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5308579717701054 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "440711", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 143488744.08205137, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8423958548655807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50140014.13640556, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.770914159265047, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.988497076010419, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "854370", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26096260.32215811, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.11318447481507, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.453416229790553, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "853650", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: switches n.e.c. in heading no. 8536, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28023848.524591748, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.608706332827072, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5507296534516117, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47447208.086271405, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.07715860504552, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.43541903842779, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "842890", "hs_description": "Lifting machinery: handling, loading or unloading machinery n.e.s. in heading no. 8428", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11055419.889423931, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.65717361338368, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9012388108457137, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "EST", "distance_km": 16707, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "importer_population": 1329.254, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-EST/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-EST/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-EST/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-EST/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-EST/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }