# New Zealand exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from New Zealand to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-CHN/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, New Zealand reported $11.0B in goods exports to China. The overall review level is Critical attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $11.0B | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 86.1% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 11 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 73 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.2 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 24.8% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 440321 | Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, of which the smallest cross-sectional dimension is 15 cm or more | $1.8B | 29.2% | High attention |
| 2 | 040221 | Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight) | $1.6B | 53.1% | Critical attention |
| 3 | 190110 | Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale | $3.6B | 0% | High attention |
| 4 | 040150 | Dairy produce: milk and cream, not concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, of a fat content, by weight, exceeding 10% | $990.2M | 0% | High attention |
| 5 | 040510 | Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter | $710.7M | 0% | High attention |
| 6 | 081050 | Fruit, edible: kiwifruit, fresh | $542.3M | 0% | High attention |
| 7 | 020442 | Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozen | $906.5M | 58.3% | Critical attention |
| 8 | 040210 | Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content not exceeding 1.5% (by weight) | $703.3M | 17.8% | High attention |
| 9 | 020230 | Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen | $10.7B | 58.8% | Critical attention |
| 10 | 030631 | Crustaceans: live, fresh or chilled, rock lobsters and other sea crawfish (Palinurus spp., Panulirus spp., Jasus spp.), in shell or not | $717.4M | 12.1% | Stable |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.