{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.791Z", "seo": { "title": "New Zealand exports to Australia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from New Zealand to Australia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NZL", "country_name": "New Zealand" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "Australia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "all_history_lane_count": 1266, "current_lane_count": 1225, "current_product_count": 1225, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4743416022.763968, "attention_trade_usd": 1887206291.2274966, "critical_trade_usd": 300767287.3884954, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 813446732.089894, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1383735133.123705, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 579601.911216613, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2193116399.105259, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 12, "high_attention_lane_count": 173, "high_volatility_lane_count": 420, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 834, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 622, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7498929252808817, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.66171302597149, "product_concentration_hhi": 211.31546934726586, "top1_product_share_pct": 10.17515155869578, "top3_product_share_pct": 18.581907050324332, "top_product_hs6": "710812", "top_product_trade_usd": 482649769.3756933, "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "040510", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2333.460693359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9506099224090576, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.2088482254939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5396737849717171, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.33326307401818, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 59934, "buyer_population_latest": 25739.256, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.672430715538289, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1982410002894257, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4285027544653106, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.404000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.023999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 39.78580588695295, "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.3407317836996215, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 59934, "buyer_population_2024": 25739.256 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2667460477.989578, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2834309307.809396, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.254969143744149, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2714632121.509572, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.222446222438614, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2394082902.18551, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.80820107388284, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5400430286089413 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2593896954.1623564, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.346162607587226, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.911343355720386 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2642479647.2179503, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8729615676380096, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8939373749160429 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2533142257.0569034, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.137681449170638, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.899831271588459 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 2732440142.262632, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.867615198101041, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7495848457739216 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 3402325471.841227, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.516011136620474, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.789772489848113 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 3960813775.657922, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.414899410386475, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.0668722631101 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 4244056487.6373277, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.151124188674007, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.809316802543695 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 4245880492.528809, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.04297786555844674, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.662378430278793 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5535813065.661564, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.38080264865115, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.806142589224189 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 6791041031.198486, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.674681219332584, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.963870949107474 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5484753632.517526, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.235451423129255, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.908836769093998 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 6895968035.033281, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.72976831901932, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.598101312048899 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 8025103008.584789, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.37384291538495, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.723472801884766 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 7532098612.529404, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.1432781053152645, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.15259959874393 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 7021401982.609031, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.780270097245477, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6026759160435047 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 6955862788.588301, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9334203366088589, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.654515427265615 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5568986401.72327, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.938236693517332, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.57537423549396 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5451545240.788193, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.108842659388366, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.089472004886622 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 6059757820.4754505, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.156700583472023, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.493098905025084 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5963311103.309011, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5915935920830515, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.306627799585992 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5483980419.450539, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.037995595978465, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.19793203732905162 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 4939764863.763424, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.923732655151273, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.584917227962794 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5182397833.657974, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.911832376363301, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.5708415288232445 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5160381848.301915, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.42482237108607546, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0069411232487733 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5173308057.893717, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2504894012069103, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5517366080336048 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 5039121741.426776, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.593820336335706, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9301815344164965 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5101129514.770231, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.315131715659619, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7325221932553466, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1583334493.3949215, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.275205269950266, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7608974578573126, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "040510", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 193150905.7441389, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.7636915700156386, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8989273665531037, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 340268829.0200687, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.804976386635815, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "040221", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132050270.33272782, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.285321110884873, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1322956107208508, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4891418722.095874, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.52424350336543, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9551071672885383, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 363610015.67834556, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.406524841697106, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4438505282630109, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "220429", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding more than 2 litres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107794195.2221617, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.496870455636078, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1548505060415806, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 281981710.60298634, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.837246497764575, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7380026007530862, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 686413542.1030493, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5899640383273926, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NZL", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "distance_km": 2632, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754, "importer_population": 25739.256, "importer_biz_entry_days": 2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.2088482254939394, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5396737849717171, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.33326307401818 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-AUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-AUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-AUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-AUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NZL-AUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }