{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.828Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Nepal exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Nepal to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NPL",
    "country_name": "Nepal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MEX",
    "country_name": "Mexico"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
    "importer_iso3": "MEX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 59527.79689818516,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 40494.93547607527,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 40494.93547607527,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 59527.79689818516,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 59527.79689818516,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5147863951761908,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.421189595581396,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5649.940743517308,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 68.02693461902645,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "570500",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 40494.93547607527,
    "top_product_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: n.e.c. in chapter 57, whether or not made up",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 14767.6064453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926,
    "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926,
    "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 313515.0340174763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 345661.3702614249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.253523039075919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 415602.4106832088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.233976498122196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 551619.0665929718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.72759070048829,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.724004411691112
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 431483.9213289772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.778642643010706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.672448690712375
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 628787.4243906178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.72673356030108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.80001102642159
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 680969.7285578712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.298878467206205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.274420993235253
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1176034.5195698852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.69997038788219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.685657878045035
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1126793.389798553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.187047994929715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.463786155728613
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 937186.5270654323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.827118835602896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.232767668475807
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1268597.741730819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.36235371448615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.557624946946424
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1322951.0811261036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.284521216404458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.4953129956038405
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1690384.4920851616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.77377154764458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.72687916887397
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1142241.8446296495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.4270986880242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4368604872087816
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 695985.3598764791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.068476334612015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.27300752714708
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 940176.074866146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.08561085724631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.761616490703545
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1302438.8314882147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.531373676323824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.47196338848268
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1645359.8114865003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.329142813290616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.215142497674364
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1725372.3300829234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.862919225195839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.430947693378165
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1119406.9513019775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.12084714792096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.9226895648124325
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1251486.3425220882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.799050476369622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.717314212014148
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1011929.8700399677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.141756832867106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.294140101741238
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1290340.5639228409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.512844726273066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.8508889636657
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 1278981.9353057237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8802814493086286,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7270462225973828
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 688242.214051369,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.18827717165107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.057873323515789
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 8679788.96170807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1161.153237116058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.77085313283435
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 422724.52697799506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.12978335253432,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.859739398803654
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 836929.616229783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.9846360496015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.73721733838244
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 988635.9502412918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.12653430702076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.52597554312337
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 667943.6618059934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.437854233100516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.47359010897238
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "570500",
      "hs_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: n.e.c. in chapter 57, whether or not made up",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38126025.66050056,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.93948553107516,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7586522837206606,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "560290",
      "hs_description": "Felt: impregnated, coated, covered or laminated (excluding needleloom felt and stitch-bonded fibre fabrics)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17545626.372422986,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9959293929415092,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
    "importer_iso3": "MEX",
    "distance_km": 14768,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624,
    "importer_population": 130262.222,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36288.830373000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1222.8788349177971,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-MEX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-MEX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-MEX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-MEX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-MEX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}