{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.070Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Nepal exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Nepal to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NPL",
    "country_name": "Nepal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 10,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 729239.7223095197,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 729239.7223095197,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6457286743989522,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "410799",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 729239.7223095197,
    "top_product_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, incl. parchment-dressed, of bovine (including buffalo) or equine animals, no hair, excluding leather of heading 41.14, and whole hides and skins, and sides, (full grains, unsplit and grain splits)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4414.77490234375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292,
    "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292,
    "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 80224.65688888231,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2381.369470897639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.0316239878769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2008.1939193061035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.670628021063438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 7607.849572652805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 278.8403848609185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.39791677622312
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 21639.997796586085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 184.44302939917839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 108.67806940721346
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 58867.20327941136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 172.02961771418583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 208.33482938027888
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 169755.93435833586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 188.3709857126974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 181.52762473130682
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 45369.96440259532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.27341481516376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.988340717573323
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 49828.52309473253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.827115253108222,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.40499513990823
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 43395.534614108015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.910253166433028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.534160967012596
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 182543.0690803781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 320.6494301859179,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.049498168702506
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 238392.7012690226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.595317844717805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.50196892561928
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 13846.05291210322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.19191408193402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.667551724814725
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 67450.37140763173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 387.1451224100948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.241558284387846
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 40519.19346624785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.927397550752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.60686488921293
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 105703.87013700206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 160.87357890045985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.90419426842485
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 100091.01638904586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.309979417670718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.060932545328741
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 109866.1338341624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.76622857652023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.444380310339966
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 52902.75637939174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.847985786733986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.604515359542585
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 64042.51261884267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.057043152085008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.829670347848811
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 195164.96008338718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 204.74282176425024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.109813406627854
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 151100.8212967139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.577894499015716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.882720810893794
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 169784.37311522252,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.364957157856926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.40223953429922
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 228326.48208243045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.48026923389402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.370282908274859
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 366698.7455592167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.60280972000045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.38399047125073
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 778667.0492752799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.34516308143085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.14401215536327
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1269341.9653491105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.01472709427105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.14984812446404
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 945042.295296603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.548644802215648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.10309975174504
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "410799",
      "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, incl. parchment-dressed, of bovine (including buffalo) or equine animals, no hair, excluding leather of heading 41.14, and whole hides and skins, and sides, (full grains, unsplit and grain splits)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 304043498.4665162,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6457286743989522,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "distance_km": 4409,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "importer_population": 276361.786,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36288.830373000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1222.8788349177971,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272728,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-IDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-IDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-IDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-IDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-IDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}