{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.002Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Nepal exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Nepal to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NPL",
    "country_name": "Nepal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 17,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2694033.1601383844,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2101002.894821166,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2101002.894821166,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 593030.2653172186,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 593030.2653172186,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.270479887465233,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.91865252477152,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6566.574482386937,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 77.98726927003541,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2101002.894821166,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2963.798095703125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 77.98726927003541,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 479063.06100695283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 275960.0494472466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.395882315117284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 229836.7530353911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.713758569126714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 479714.6318840141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 108.71972195419323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.04531593394305755
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1398413.3571891978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.50942336220163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.76306577237506
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2970641.28026145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.42941259031025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 134.6804494951194
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 980089.5999648036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.00747389201618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.8900607194267
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 663896.7822116093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.26162360712217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.989151780728267
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 432232.25808628136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.894659882759846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -47.40364419123521
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 904672.7806971141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.3024673129614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6337192357908656
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 778877.8469910208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.905020289121484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.468538839300163
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1269348.6281729026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.971463763757065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.20381264725328
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1932224.1446035253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.22170660748766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.782047898372976
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3203766.8149142023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.80720326168918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.22508683395138
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3457237.899067838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.911658332113158,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.65273615628235
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3536147.5372951045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.282447448830238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.318165026963044
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2858838.4850439583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.15386858460205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7258764226552166
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3263964.524437845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.171001317958588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.899311618133559
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4396302.735625416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.69211147086821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.527381849528991
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3105335.61406945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.364836754635228,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.795232879852705
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3132722.136887743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8819182923163638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3586936039498232
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3073560.028293717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8885207818910343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.246660550731546
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2326713.1197281657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.299083202879967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.173739968856797
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1750969.1014087081,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.744950868146688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.62687627506424
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2311711.3284788183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.0246785976392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.058111769950672
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2277155.5532004833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4948135977286503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7150808323365343
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 5667897.479405218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 148.90251662602205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.92713109357847
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 4531332.831312251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.052667717134433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.14998075644055
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3950132.2002711073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.826262220796336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.154390299875892
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 5601610.925257977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.80818872020347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.39136590803362514
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1521880641.8737683,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4010411913385739,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "121190",
      "hs_description": "Plants and parts (including seeds and fruits) n.e.c. in heading no. 1211, of a kind used primarily in perfumery, in pharmacy or for insecticidal, fungicidal or similar purposes, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not cut, crushed or powdered",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73708137.20009772,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.77283885303544,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8079239380774161,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NPL",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "distance_km": 2968,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "importer_population": 7413.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36288.830373000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1222.8788349177971,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-HKG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-HKG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-HKG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-HKG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NPL-HKG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}