{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.785Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Norway exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NOR",
    "country_name": "Norway"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1352,
    "current_lane_count": 1319,
    "current_product_count": 1319,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 12963535894.06833,
    "attention_trade_usd": 9747818262.530151,
    "critical_trade_usd": 347063364.5370089,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1070033634.3038261,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1856820788.9118137,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1829065.5241027162,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9701798413.267866,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 13,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 149,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 446,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 832,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 6,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 403,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7079286375614955,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.56421093563379,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1861.124828677759,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 42.006745495253995,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 52.22696020170437,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5445559530.207183,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 417.5657653808594,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.886902391910553,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.19413177226144,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.677227628118137,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4417290023.978955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4921722072.795537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.419491273570603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4703401532.820332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.435856733600552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4448017902.01988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.429764586722707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.23134019160622188
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4632440316.572055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.146170690284912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9989078376447367
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 5551078632.434458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.83054833056508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.678938169571923
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 5067975784.593429,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.702864431036916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.4454041837789005
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4854188331.730324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.2183992574119085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5708132568155397
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 5746462405.059083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.381529770821636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1597459899147289
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6616100107.490276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.13344456348622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.292202699384866
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 7879119591.865324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.090090292695947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.522320151227678
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 9282855441.929554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.8158972420408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.33484551764537
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10853104196.529564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.915579095494504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.93715169101717
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 12625109740.766071,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.327177111255708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.017951139655697
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 8626633431.56845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.670824185287426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4142092616618815
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10804626652.072872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.247313888802037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.14911218460269549
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 12457231674.47661,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.295345925596472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.44521781379773806
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 11760447394.058434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.5934119122614145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.881944436148583
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10772609482.312923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.399662688381914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.09887383825982754
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 9894007076.056278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.155892104871931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.391633232604411
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 7846094735.714007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.698512994783126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.620430373228064
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 7552374195.66247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.743525281622906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.164300221906597
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 8485689837.450221,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.35791047434831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.989490792001783
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10221695424.307543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.458037238124604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.216887619760893
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 9718478702.02546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.92302598926414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.76894826819159
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 9871733483.229845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5769420904574893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.172473828186086
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 14806194255.500603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.98575762456965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.146251097362626
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 18715863339.839493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.405631432847244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.414364640379603
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 15409594785.818674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.66559465618097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.002121602964614
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 13367987854.699629,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.24893327498734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3487371057922544
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10511789168.632685,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.62528772334643,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6860000336946052,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030214",
      "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1016504060.271918,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.369177235213506,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.676281892293149,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030441",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, salmon, Pacific (Oncorhynchus nerka, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, Oncorhynchus keta, Oncorhynchus tschawytscha, Oncorhynchus kisutch, Oncorhynchus masou and Oncorhynchus rhodurus), Atlantic (Salmo salar), Danube (Hucho hucho)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 362169357.0971395,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7437570367978734,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4321886592.869021,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.18763400881608,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.053479103306863,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 383231311.3815821,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.59775570762612,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5267581865793465,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "271112",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 496188791.73916763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.058159610979686,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6275450171117155,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030481",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, salmon, Pacific (Oncorhynchus nerka, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, Oncorhynchus keta, Oncorhynchus tschawytscha, Oncorhynchus kisutch, Oncorhynchus masou, Oncorhynchus rhodurus), Atlantic (Salmo salar), and Danube (Hucho hucho)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 227270681.7444474,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6194943425475964,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "271600",
      "hs_description": "Electrical energy",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 405366581.83639467,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.70262485836577,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5438923252248679,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "750210",
      "hs_description": "Nickel: unwrought, not alloyed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 357353224.8740717,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.90260343771512,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5339800424873903,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1056082839.9683039,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.43362119977836,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8026214019458946,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "distance_km": 418,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "importer_population": 10415.811,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-SWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-SWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-SWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-SWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-SWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}