{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.780Z", "seo": { "title": "Norway exports to the Netherlands: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to the Netherlands, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NLD", "country_name": "Netherlands" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "all_history_lane_count": 906, "current_lane_count": 819, "current_product_count": 819, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 13251899297.016966, "attention_trade_usd": 5732610663.973079, "critical_trade_usd": 645962521.2354789, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 952763276.4760679, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6522681012.569278, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 24091189.061374966, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6501905280.37856, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 6, "high_attention_lane_count": 87, "high_volatility_lane_count": 538, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 412, "declining_demand_lane_count": 4, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 230, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7153037888306611, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.911226916750174, "product_concentration_hhi": 2165.3367702708106, "top1_product_share_pct": 36.989296563871086, "top3_product_share_pct": 69.23447829301227, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 4901784331.319154, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271121", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 916.156494140625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.7744128108024597, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.37596273433192, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7260612258124646, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.194351901056224, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1018007.05695, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 58061, "buyer_population_latest": 17533.405, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.515439704237579, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.743525072332222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7369568967363849, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.17, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.663999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 43.258785291731755, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.87449011464256, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1018007.05695, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 58061, "buyer_population_2024": 17533.405 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 3560707658.3030195, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 4688628725.564996, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.676879303242966, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 4626322176.778198, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.328886385204009, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 3455495666.9014106, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.307932848986304, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9947986473837878 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 4041523624.914492, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.959302354981133, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.830067939630767 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 6374184546.676632, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.71736449546283, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.274654146884956 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 5731509019.234448, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.082474436314548, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.373060365192373 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 5266873263.191563, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.106691527198306, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.228486353076981 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 6141770899.374168, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.61132881812395, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2304686541200094 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 7379393945.92693, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.150915213702824, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.788729578115229 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 8472617788.933608, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.81454779372613, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.17139011480846 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 9698344812.438097, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.466922196177133, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.448706688708924 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 10966231465.459566, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.073227210847449, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.115745273034497 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 15585049265.638718, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.118551069499865, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.526545171795664 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 11798640681.387867, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.295133879358154, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.752515661905623 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 13754672131.083778, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.578447488290028, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.844403193685134 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 16491557437.992239, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.897859293377508, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9024198991358876 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 17859734109.629536, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.296224760951777, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.819152756340802 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 17371509798.190636, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.733659462352589, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.092552981929124 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 19011374050.09018, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.439963888863279, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.8537446328768885 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 11820978089.14831, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.82154799541048, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.851588688745764 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 9309880028.294022, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.24272663325113, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.772670925586766 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 10804751733.67784, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.05683103155673, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.167564967296045 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 14195187403.09579, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.379116827369046, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.290856346618101 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 11893251381.440905, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.216313010090044, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.50560462508836 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 8197176605.3038, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.077076045871944, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.795451056525128 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 14890194179.741816, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.65027907422964, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6060910417595275 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 20018491304.5349, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.440767278711235, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.953415139403894 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 15921138214.525742, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.467841595440127, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.768017249518472 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "export_value_usd": 13369582862.602804, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.026211929967495, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5269893179934897 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49160534119.3378, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.79698511699278, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5097526735680663, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271121", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6866876517.783041, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7451271006986967, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1533894440.2168965, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.03587554163186, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7024011948831929, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "030214", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1002937119.3581489, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.5076441108427856, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9541454263454224, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6885565586.610801, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.64818174345569, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8806219401284947, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13323005550.948275, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.18812578409525, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6567980439069175, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1688320517.6701164, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.71213941958181, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6165487863362494, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 654486605.3633621, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.55423183790409, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7346761813057976, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1471220450.5967815, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.97892203058338, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8637998473097007, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "790111", "hs_description": "Zinc: unwrought, (not alloyed), containing by weight 99.99% or more of zinc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 509052403.43977714, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.83254327505219, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1517234463369856, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "distance_km": 914, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1018007.05695, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 58061.00166795897, "importer_population": 17533.405, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.37596273433192, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7260612258124646, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.194351901056224 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-NLD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-NLD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-NLD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-NLD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-NLD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }