{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.052Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Norway exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NOR",
    "country_name": "Norway"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MKD",
    "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "MKD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 32,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1412066.5078643395,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 712118.9090269743,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 453814.37225480174,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 209430.05413137987,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1307456137992262,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.61468479221595,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1686.1135631785314,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 24.4780840641559,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.50689275578524,
    "top_product_hs6": "870340",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 345646.8268368236,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 2124.663818359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.506667720051588,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.4161798086071428,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 10.098020362027778,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 852510.9003303533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 719871.8334950763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.558635881826088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 524694.0367486558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.11285365879722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 541786.6137541478,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.257627456833445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.024222897685402
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1586804.1626791963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 192.88360442941047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.143570248451713
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1403961.1936231712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.522718011232646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.82989391534524
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1496333.9898288301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.579440843893591,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.30293525311463
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 978564.8144645126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.60251380265355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.881867158578888
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 531632.3603992583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.672238308488886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.65329298422402
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 540277.3305982428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.626118130298182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.79189942930591
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1001000.494992825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.27530923506059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7584702762386542
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2119307.153926964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.71889170166244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.5601927937694
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2461588.3399634394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.15061721479336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.78028944073033
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 3434268.949280607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.514349069902345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.82268581401659
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1975723.9953757762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.47031829613576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3113465170266134
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2458813.249566654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.451252063626217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.03759271801766495
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 3287381.828941731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.697906074042216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4465234391404125
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2668832.978300539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.815850510444488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.543117187786155
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2023034.5909923196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.19778204777172,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.29575740337982
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2639789.3548255772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.486614839874427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.052073124100666
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2000509.529468243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.217077176583068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.160846957441704
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 3367716.356683894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.34292999239395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.516112949336172
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2171052.8134121997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.53338275940848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.308461244456409
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2136916.1378254048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5723558347317645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.223077472045931
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 3802930.607603837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.9634932924332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.134418977695553
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2196097.3593615387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.25249982288625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.38305311901261074
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2465110.2633019234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.24958915385217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.8776522886430085
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2247434.02462597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.830284061386529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.081795432417955
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 3664391.636238328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.047795667691545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.608759702962253
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 3118438.6393857007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.8988713830019,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.151766578970632
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17022218.429219984,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3759855256796974,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119586194.2063277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.55278954022124,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9828513113891248,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86883164.29556505,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.839992701516887,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13700862.628071599,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.36979868283388406,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13038573.68197278,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3969910529746318,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27658624.62079518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.90972931690348,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4920731310215583,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870331",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28081913.41661014,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.546278418051912,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0793760090967388,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28874451.066962123,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.79338370382949,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1884192736126185,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25090618.949709505,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.056924910829835,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8526760743259372,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13140856.553159615,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48951489433581036,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "MKD",
    "distance_km": 2123,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366,
    "importer_population": 2065.092,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.506667720051588,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.4161798086071428,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 10.098020362027778
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MKD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MKD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MKD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MKD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MKD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}