{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.841Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Norway exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NOR",
    "country_name": "Norway"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MEX",
    "country_name": "Mexico"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "MEX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 232,
    "current_lane_count": 133,
    "current_product_count": 133,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 215912848.124988,
    "attention_trade_usd": 150484070.3322742,
    "critical_trade_usd": 16238979.114205161,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 128756722.69369656,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 79108573.4557097,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 141908647.2772896,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 25,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 74,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 83,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 104,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3707605123472997,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.510298272018936,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 510.87465103063994,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 10.061136288576515,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 28.661209317486986,
    "top_product_hs6": "310260",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 21723285.914402265,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, double salts and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310260",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9207.3544921875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.053959451615810394,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.099267541545457,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9220003059961618,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 12.678296114407878,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926,
    "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 69.69667235604328,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.521080498555934,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926,
    "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 18703035.74055996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 30144636.36208214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.175098953105135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 44384914.96969489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.23984206200307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 48275805.02383123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.766244244903842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.17421185615788
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 44610249.61819221,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.592945169592779,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.957138304947714
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 78805180.8620562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.65263372549967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.089492576412262
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 124352896.6053969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.79786968964551,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.080430748441294
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 81342110.69787005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.58768318361809,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.1687868678907
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 87541815.10489011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.621764856886615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.566728779537298
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 118282694.67147866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.1156524796244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.654362172478574
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 174572511.13504553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.589223951912516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.989237015054048
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 155166439.6180969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.116338643909707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.021003382939508
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 170102629.51174745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.625915198165425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.874699143134682
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 210054586.823233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.486972203875567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.361740812314021
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 130498892.22316581,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.873819278707586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.607748923398937
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 186844546.6041577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.17711317015267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1786401708278733
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 127205622.43142782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.919007140775058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.39590595554392
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 151316588.28401282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.95432402414634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.057381465254918
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 168481688.59590968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.343832494874206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3895526079721017
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 154073394.0337581,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.551846009039455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.595886913128113
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 163785665.69456238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.3036656794074775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6746229047973857
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 159210698.0156843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.793265002451284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.868934754246665
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 158574211.59153602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.399776165848853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9644081357570888
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 176765732.9077365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.471929220786038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5748119266960634
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 174735154.2170521,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1487400059287944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.150027257913135
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 163669816.37034243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.332634034800211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0598567059560082
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 223473440.53178152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.539189379988656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.12910601193597
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 367269822.2998163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.34607236808736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.095828137272715
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 272476009.7403304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.810400638390085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.51861248892044
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "export_value_usd": 277530152.1528252,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8548944610981888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.4883557386616895
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310260",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, double salts and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42062014.4339746,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.319208030361914,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7756396119780483,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 563464311.9783044,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.548828229055395,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.576104805771482,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 675475762.606743,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7574171916213943,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310590",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 383485389.39091355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.72122974800422,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2940039593250237,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "750210",
      "hs_description": "Nickel: unwrought, not alloyed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56020628.43866596,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.37880347575159,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2015531079685209,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 168091726.79875895,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.44659289210486,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7148484074360387,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 287421550.12931526,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.528279863871184,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9295628803710373,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310540",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: ammonium dihydrogenorthophosphate (monoammonium phosphate) and mixtures thereof with diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 105735957.45486426,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.30383317660952,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.400363360725042,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "310230",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 197719748.60178632,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.483850218617896,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.157733328014263,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "MEX",
      "hs_code": "843143",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 358425672.62250894,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3187251755083105,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "MEX",
    "distance_km": 9210,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624,
    "importer_population": 130262.222,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.099267541545457,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9220003059961618,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 12.678296114407878
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MEX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MEX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MEX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MEX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MEX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}