{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.800Z", "seo": { "title": "Norway exports to China, Macao SAR: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to China, Macao SAR, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MAC", "country_name": "China, Macao SAR" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 205368.91170558665, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 23472.441560818643, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 50038.860340038285, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 205368.91170558665, "access_friction_trade_usd": 205368.91170558665, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 205368.91170558665, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8792995698352007, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.740173698732576, "product_concentration_hhi": 6018.569877582057, "top1_product_share_pct": 75.63464697530601, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240210", "top_product_trade_usd": 155330.05136554837, "top_product_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8569.228515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 29905.190182, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 45422, "buyer_population_latest": 658.391, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.10707901944438, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.538342143523442, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.44249516534402566, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.368000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 55.720000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 29905.190182, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 45422, "buyer_population_2024": 658.391 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 2482420.832595357, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 2545367.488862205, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.535696423439915, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1115006.3860471365, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.19467951381938, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 855825.2074064332, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.24481562473728, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.880864085231885 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 784130.1891636141, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.377296861831152, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.4623579537477 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 743789.7928363988, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.14460441450979, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.624242646821449 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 806893.7848676309, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.48411643168545, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.943339431917357 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 676327.4676426623, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.181351210480287, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.810374751408242 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 824267.2671742003, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.873989540478323, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.483858437350573 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1520542.6501270076, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.47204088788072, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.51719256981861 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1697213.2535808089, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.618917985565513, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.89176192543928 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1856554.0903143035, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.388380416975583, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.083043914777477 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1436206.044383769, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.641303483884613, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8841024009091933 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1278513.8615755388, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.979774345392823, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.010835854302012 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1353685.3281182405, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.87959730448806, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.994294931614277 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 892447.4422783161, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.07275503835826, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.666026949166621 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 1409922.9850982323, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.9838675428169, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.314984897635709 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 3423824.523631623, "yoy_growth_pct": 142.83769821605384, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.248352273569886 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 4979617.887262033, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.44021905597524, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.3663067933033 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 5576732.398081631, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.991171297440895, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.147187033869805 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 93590.42621738088, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.32176946038193, "cagr_3y_pct": -69.87641594442219 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 6938625.739173361, "yoy_growth_pct": 7313.820002333502, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.692963707294112 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 7162725.585277982, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.229743965572629, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.70082392479825 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 8927776.355097866, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.642166572005884, "cagr_3y_pct": 356.9169745282954 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 9181201.110670594, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8386100356111665, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.784748819461253 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 5888544.152039581, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.86303054405611, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.320792607298387 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 8736735.061391408, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.36833750096474, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7184334522314262 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 9448059.350696621, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.141763305249272, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9596192560397565 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 13838661.331327556, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.470939879385995, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.95215520392469 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "export_value_usd": 10649451.437806334, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.045653168067503, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.821668497471145 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "240210", "hs_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34650115.55198246, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.784510063349385, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "610120", "hs_description": "Coats: men's or boys' overcoats, car-coats, capes, anoraks, wind-jackets and similar articles, of cotton, knitted or crocheted (excluding those of heading no. 6103)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17663952.264236785, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.07602622510444, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.618630730106348, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "hs_code": "220110", "hs_description": "Waters: mineral and aerated, including natural or artificial, (not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter nor flavoured)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14151682.840266682, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.66460148802585, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8016022801942202, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "MAC", "distance_km": 8581, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 29905.190182, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 45421.62663523651, "importer_population": 658.391, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MAC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MAC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MAC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MAC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-MAC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }