{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.525Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Norway exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NOR",
    "country_name": "Norway"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 131,
    "current_lane_count": 40,
    "current_product_count": 40,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 62677944.828829914,
    "attention_trade_usd": 55236746.46692314,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 58000951.66311657,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5192604.573214651,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 56375152.391181126,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 31,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 22,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0746468080014655,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.30739156319944,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4791.718279379522,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 66.20255231171458,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 88.12788392754695,
    "top_product_hs6": "030313",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 41494399.21321373,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030313",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4702.35009765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.12788392754695,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 266834.8985789734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 203186.45769739445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.853117122437173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 387411.28307631967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.66786609041199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 639752.4811244047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.13522168077228,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.84118812420856
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 4017940.9484918853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 528.046168954297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 170.41841537987557
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2290568.90554366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.991474118020236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.82439967043402
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 3568840.9460709114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.80587588670936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.35294510408914
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 4418515.957817013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.808150169358065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.218519623195415
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11565682.492129704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.75491052981914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.55733909451038
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13205617.219329417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.179316510855866,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.6715735533339
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 22210424.341300715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.18921806086216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.3010964379224
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 18824592.165125098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.244338082634446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.630001742276246
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 93398573.98785564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 396.1519121826615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.95253279403659
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 634664264.5638826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 579.5224353708079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 205.7236691817286
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 311709794.30673856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.88587593301258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 154.8834425230141
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 81934102.64804012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.71462041150599,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.271448967651237
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 67746458.45824048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.315920637765124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.56333117107418
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 42277976.24739203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.59382082909537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.62073183796507
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 40869211.98026232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.332146881596809,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.693182805057763
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 47962578.92020464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.356260608518824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.87381646934018
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 36299976.05886456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.316046225836086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.95468462903581
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 54534572.20419426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.23308036280856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.09270660983801
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 47520201.29367153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.86224614407675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.30839647825114946
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 46592971.57000027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9512327356129067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.677095661191704
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 66310618.07896233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.31892889539939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.7342301015604455
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 62356224.11790104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.963440057748248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.479762320449382
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 70994602.08272049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.853273008459087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.071641045187212
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 98419093.25881627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.628980755666056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.068420478854016
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 93955626.70449768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.535163255955688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.643031476085433
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 105669343.84845279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.46728647853761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.17593070501102
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "030313",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54980750.44635483,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.571890194444359,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0096631860506806,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "030354",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20010485.730097394,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.238571019924458,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "030351",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, herrings (Clupea harengus, Clupea pallasii), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11557720.219375936,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.87815813882976,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.815931881350455,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "901812",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: ultrasonic scanning apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27624640.54851849,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6506558445695823,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 365998642.673289,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.75054334409993,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.683290453943513,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "847989",
      "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: n.e.s. in item no. 8479.8, having individual functions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 187186192.40361077,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.23344791025069,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8568039814606354,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "901580",
      "hs_description": "Surveying equipment: articles n.e.c. in heading no. 9015, including hydrographic, oceanographic, hydrological, meteorological or geophysical instruments and appliances (excluding compasses)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26841629.391742203,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.9380955669258,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2459609305049704,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "902710",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: gas or smoke analysis apparatus, for physical or chemical analysis",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24197957.671332642,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.5492475114064074,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9940120755640454,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "732599",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: cast articles, excluding grinding balls and similar articles for mills, other than of non-malleable cast iron",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19826418.88981335,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2556323668753433,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "843143",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70042336.69049531,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.84603097782352,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2160315450499377,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "distance_km": 4709,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "importer_population": 19002.586,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-KAZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-KAZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-KAZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-KAZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}