{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.821Z", "seo": { "title": "Norway exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "all_history_lane_count": 80, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 75404.79437151634, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29602.850448544228, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.704873146668267, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.14697832390923, "product_concentration_hhi": 5230.756268408453, "top1_product_share_pct": 60.741421423825926, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "841290", "top_product_trade_usd": 45801.94392297211, "top_product_description": "Engines: parts, for engines and motors of heading no. 8412", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3959.593505859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757, "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757, "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 6031354.890836314, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 10768936.371968703, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.5492077133513, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 20034489.719577234, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.03963314080447, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 5150706.815538511, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.29080107538071, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.125249058244419 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 3946151.425495613, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.38621539104164, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.440552549597832 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 23964125.655244574, "yoy_growth_pct": 507.2784105651705, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1518989311750705 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 17769639.85540402, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.8489956569097, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.102134256995726 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 11686261.674002726, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.23467347061199, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.60424788504365 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 22149271.797474604, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.53256751684677, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5909544218320257 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 59051045.85055807, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.60490868729556, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.22777235749394 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 30580250.30296942, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.21387180785992, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.8018801515952 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 42702376.40193814, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.640375663608076, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.460305868210995 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 30721876.530823946, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.055815344671153, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.57210260413069 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 42932573.9618918, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.745936153400606, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.973511252035141 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 24970538.38853499, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.83777937307098, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.377087923874345 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 37894620.43561098, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.7573223531695, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.244889807223309 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 32916022.98585243, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.138005850244582, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.474914473373929 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 28644401.523885727, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.977331629044864, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.681663527814139 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 7491663.10120149, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.84597791315552, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.74495270249461 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 5828329.109185888, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.202466522404627, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.84623199454592 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 8688781.247555321, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.07842513321945, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.80973249054024 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 20913538.781162027, "yoy_growth_pct": 140.69588340765594, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.80446572331433 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 17935922.92107614, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.237742790655727, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.45429641077929 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 22494690.773492847, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.416968351596726, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.31154529348204 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 7426771.027434605, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.98433820576845, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.185177731103163 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2152497.487910324, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.01704792083983, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.674332075422654 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2845431.8725237595, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.19211118736991, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.801656259411864 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 3828980.517532597, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.565882757771924, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.814770965405458 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 4671794.912169485, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.011456855883928, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.47334610168324 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 4861952.086169848, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.070323667355891, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.551260890375843 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "841290", "hs_description": "Engines: parts, for engines and motors of heading no. 8412", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12991650.201397032, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.226585885271415, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8447792965451671, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "844332", "hs_description": "Printing, copying, and facsimile machines: single-function printing, copying or facsimile machines, capable of connecting to an automatic data processing machine or to a network", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20183816.261220083, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.420873923301784, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48840839634704125, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "distance_km": 3959, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "importer_population": 85028.763, "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }