{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.884Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Norway exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NOR",
    "country_name": "Norway"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 335,
    "current_lane_count": 139,
    "current_product_count": 139,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 219793036.28389817,
    "attention_trade_usd": 190751201.20881498,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 101093460.72278537,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 84339617.0505929,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 123604809.83914317,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 219793036.28389817,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 30,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 107,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 68,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 74,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 139,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.256162925293785,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.00691673869067,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1047.3896274943181,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 22.923702465265222,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 52.05615867292702,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 50384701.67709325,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 10941.9365234375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272724,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272724,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292,
    "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.78673557356431,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292,
    "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 61092309.99011355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 76345193.46860968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.966945072079394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 52946889.2146035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.648038456575133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 36727668.870258056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.632999567936757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.601329416498732
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 25486577.48542321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.606601863419225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.629215410106557
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 29397559.70550217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.345262510495218,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.80912373116299
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 26608133.78471251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.488630854851476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.186762765176983
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 28947813.96502279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.793101384864976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.336136541537194
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 39009800.53902381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.7590549882584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.888981849501977
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 80808820.66053157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.15004830566545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.81541206962532
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 54716289.90827444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.289211176424416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.642266150067215
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 71925229.45762382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.451217869848612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.622220267547675
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 106382379.43874633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.90690310056449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.59825608342606
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 112550608.35998634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.798167848644131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.17753457154761
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 82934456.14639649,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.31363139225722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.8619464892252
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 227353833.07714453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 174.13676250051964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.808402347780216
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 176430930.62160468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.398083976117068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.16508807494523
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 190878573.68722475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.188837985900687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.030436785178566
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 182770762.7404719,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.247627583407221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.017443813736479
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 182780680.02908945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.005426080445714021,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1855557381316384
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 193328995.72282755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.7710233335707795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4261016653333449
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 267276176.85373724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.24940012460753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.505744617329407
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 210655955.93366808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.184162983240252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.8450226685951
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 182088057.0094671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.56140100458233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9769626200383361
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 166673514.2724054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.465433148237878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.565074050429395
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 196119633.09154278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.666945433820814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3552023330681293
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 209860022.4078177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.006126362607112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.845408880979507
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 240239583.38591632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.476106801829314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.96034007414777
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 201208289.39604348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.24682054462845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8575154867876966
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 238941140.8587475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.753129692601036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.420813593552975
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9304630559.974403,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.25088632097869,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7390534653923682,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 165709566.5523445,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.834157367079772,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7485263428342216,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "030211",
      "hs_description": "Fish: trout (salmo trutta, oncorhynchus mykiss, oncorhynchus clarki, oncorhynchus aguabonita, oncorhynchus gilae, oncorhynchus apache and oncorhynchus chrysogaster), fresh or chilled (excluding fillets, livers, roes, other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26917482.046578728,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4534948838662294,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "380130",
      "hs_description": "Carbonaceous pastes: for electrodes and similar pastes for furnace linings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 177519353.7270683,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.65505956077713,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8153986441706458,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "841480",
      "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: for air, vacuum or gas, n.e.s. in heading no. 8414",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 417218093.473975,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.791677489494889,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 853841391.4092166,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.602720948837494,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6227258742220365,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "848190",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198787966.24659908,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.916766174516273,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9725661388945885,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 390849339.86071205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.96289085011773,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3191503307633128,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "030363",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, cod (Gadus morhua, Gadus ogac, Gadus macrocephalus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27441265.13004604,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0007348998884182,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "030354",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66940796.5143836,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.57826467617522,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0050861805754925,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "distance_km": 10941,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "importer_population": 276361.786,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272724,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.946165427272724,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-IDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}