{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.069Z", "seo": { "title": "Norway exports to Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GIN", "country_name": "Guinea" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 767496.7829999999, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 182115.228, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 71435.684, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 613425.9119999999, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8060330055852567, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.404528575449866, "product_concentration_hhi": 1839.236068702387, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.074519216584125, "top3_product_share_pct": 66.06235455712653, "top_product_hs6": "842952", "top_product_trade_usd": 207796.06399999995, "top_product_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 6027.2705078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15850.520384, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1174, "buyer_population_latest": 13497.237, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.219127345977322, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.446275515189551, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5105888069592686, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.078, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.53, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15850.520384, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1174, "buyer_population_2024": 13497.237 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1799128.5504359899, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1141316.3831596193, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.562821879346, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 722719.4558599492, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.67667734172243, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1596078.9212888095, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.84349720316685, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.91312802103867 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 357265.74708233954, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.61603500196263, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.101250447646464 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 683073.6848710317, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.1948431803071, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8630395163710123 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 754022.4195444062, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.386688324374571, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.116887542896755 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 208327.33931116766, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.37120092038607, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.455416990756277 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 309985.43743975885, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.79729106353623, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.15341384481886 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1078490.0079318231, "yoy_growth_pct": 247.916346277206, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.670603940232406 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 835819.2776845003, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.500971586438958, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.89932005168315 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1226719.6744368137, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.76853085217638, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.17384779990709 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1369391.4906344635, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.630352000602784, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.285548245221207 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1280479.1775218751, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.492833767456352, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.27984369932669 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 10631438.075092278, "yoy_growth_pct": 730.2702817602558, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.40715200394666 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 9129012.000000002, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.13191766231715, "cagr_3y_pct": 88.20538741731387 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 6253986, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.493287554009143, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.66598966785253 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 5658962.559603055, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.514307201790107, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.95710702520429 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 759028.9646865743, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.58713577458593, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.35395892840741 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 773056.3636827109, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8480716347799575, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.185999786039616 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 579078.5437184423, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.092325615197165, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.2264624301525 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 371606.40170115273, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.82797951466943, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.18510898508813 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 253524.09312895258, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.77617716800325, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.039136203675287 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1175353.937, "yoy_growth_pct": 363.6064061975236, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.612639976973785 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1200390.4005, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.130121209608027, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.824508003282084 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1353590.8799999997, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.762554535273441, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.77905783130655 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1411198.9385, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.255943162087528, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.285297274107959 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 704254.9929999998, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.09527191477547, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.285155733044164 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1170406.2636666666, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.19069446436525, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.7314096365401515 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 1766120.9979999992, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.89811570787979, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.764918375911667 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "842952", "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167571260.7790977, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5170291709211816, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35025494.09723306, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5423332479632288, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56300304.66559754, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.1687766784807, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8286135898409269, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22747145.328509398, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.26442346111657, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7567564285149734, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29429566.788004793, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.40578299126098, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9423883432342124, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "843050", "hs_description": "Machinery: for handling earth, minerals or ores, self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30904217.615500003, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "843041", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15881383.849878455, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "distance_km": 5945, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952, "importer_population": 13497.237, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GIN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GIN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GIN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GIN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GIN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }