{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.772Z", "seo": { "title": "Norway exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 1055, "current_lane_count": 851, "current_product_count": 851, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 30278967605.748936, "attention_trade_usd": 28078731946.415737, "critical_trade_usd": 12959776020.257439, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 13818773402.70865, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 26173105674.397343, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 71782181.36383314, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 28087496699.821133, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 10, "high_attention_lane_count": 113, "high_volatility_lane_count": 464, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 499, "declining_demand_lane_count": 15, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 237, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8373659720205707, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 54.429292094196676, "product_concentration_hhi": 3319.735534076706, "top1_product_share_pct": 40.78514435996547, "top3_product_share_pct": 83.82922046692919, "top_product_hs6": "271121", "top_product_trade_usd": 12349320648.711885, "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271121", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1157.1043701171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8811951279640198, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.73345218376782, "critical_trade_share_pct": 42.80124801149701, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7521417541.945061, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 8731958499.664478, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.094585242323454, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 8629430779.130388, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1741663744511577, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 6411578793.224835, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.701022960509246, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.182515711040336 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7165301898.910217, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.755655354057982, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.378784181457786 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 10633971859.938122, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.409264675302246, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.21061462487762 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 9950978765.88788, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.422746863035389, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.780015999825592 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 9776820717.882004, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7501599802714152, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.9143451218626 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 12444092588.7288, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.28158721340059, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.379445499495095 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 16965865097.785965, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.33669933597847, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.463913227861095 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 23641804447.65267, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.34924220715344, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.22322098069177 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 29503967909.129227, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.795753109524576, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.34366808497058 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 31779451980.77152, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.712467959057823, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.269830300574192 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 42557549180.130646, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.91530227104145, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.64623250511839 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 24798463653.162773, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.72957764038553, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.626922797282874 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 32363933526.09434, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.507816850043756, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.609339740473791 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 41200848448.05585, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.30482348456342, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0741364676829401 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 37564584027.67863, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.82570276425656, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.846545407395961 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 31251148227.973183, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.806883300114627, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1595093106326448 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 29783206615.14906, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.69724056894062, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.252622918079945 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 19389310451.911858, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.89851276776358, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.783952311137732 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 17635414364.854977, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.04568572155664, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.363249757660803 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 21797930697.35315, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.603167163418128, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.88136512257254 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 25312520433.71321, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.12350174499282, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.292663227467092 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 19988655919.31678, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.032534189308493, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.263582031992552 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 13822719672.410044, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.847177878268717, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.086895833856083 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 35930324509.586945, "yoy_growth_pct": 159.93672273701227, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.385060270262427 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 55914164283.06273, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.6183114019571, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.900569557328545 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 32829189606.778446, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.28645214013702, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.420394537449674 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 30418095915.566265, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.344359455995675, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.400183249963996 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271121", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12443785577.2288, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.6475087896, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1165062092926712, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29999359070.508434, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.23861574600133, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5329921110158773, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3499112907.488253, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.04648408570493, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4880753122919573, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5390016150.8288555, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.200057047066345, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5776000431874692, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "890520", "hs_description": "Floating or submersible drilling or production platforms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 465675701.46818805, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7613424311773573, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "030214", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 588718096.9087633, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.27663219250508, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8297444529019238, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 266606347.03674325, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.45984159885978, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7403275238505601, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2705621459.2903543, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3330596427278865, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 221395602.4383597, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.766582617035905, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.578132398594099, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3562777194.430143, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.99877814789212, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1864455718534097, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NOR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 1156, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }