{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.794Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Norway exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Norway to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NOR",
    "country_name": "Norway"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 434,
    "current_lane_count": 300,
    "current_product_count": 300,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 971840800.1016563,
    "attention_trade_usd": 840155810.5795981,
    "critical_trade_usd": 245013411.60149828,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 711647823.0024376,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 338012842.570729,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 610738840.5889155,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 971840800.1016563,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 7,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 62,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 192,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 137,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 107,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 300,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.2119195555432487,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.21588951545789,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 709.2615556893056,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 22.060100865043765,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 36.84783592334911,
    "top_product_hs6": "841360",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 214389060.75007373,
    "top_product_description": "Pumps: rotary positive displacement pumps, n.e.s. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "841360",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 10641.0078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0005999999702908099,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.44994226335386,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 25.211270361963546,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 254949451.79049587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 250776504.89652646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6367742172666122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 246153894.05347264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8433189524517668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 240898574.5326841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1349731398711547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8719016618510054
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 178089597.46851295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.072789009239028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.78239328414985
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 191379399.90030125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.4624248809018745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.047651456784122
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 202197433.2146856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.652663411014958,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.670586106644282
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 221295191.73064324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.445104328144648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.5089140719792224
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 261759908.22801456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.2854024892797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.003323099080031
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 324667718.99021286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.032637842843528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.09935166394323
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 403747834.79318476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.357246248234432,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.192929309011888
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 340976093.4110905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.54726390402772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.212814743606978
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 502195303.3179235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.28167546704294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.649700474025185
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 639310688.6383255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.303199455371786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.555808089754454
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 512317623.31583405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.864061023752832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.535061915781178
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 835823954.4944164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.14565739214222,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.50792364631426
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 860192217.1403323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.9154778963778494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.397993759298863
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 936172760.397744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.832972647672332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.25657782533832
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 935633602.0219587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.05759176068702576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.831787894152794
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1127175202.3773859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.471859918401236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.428884553936868
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 738850103.8496772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.45117473385426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.586919749347665
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 527244727.05709946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.639825005104136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.40213694881695
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 526739156.71122664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.09588912319611342,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.398867482560746
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 532385178.6950277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0718819574859095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.348710782660087
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 601545707.2368294,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.990693826474775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.492582385275101
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 543562493.3593793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.639037097246216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0534843429549579
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 679342767.5607686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.97969890494587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.464511984791368
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 986615469.2806116,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.23087848909157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.930578661751962
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 742225883.0693698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.77050014119867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.941884236169885
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1009645930.2635629,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.029469369663516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.11954925386285
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "841360",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: rotary positive displacement pumps, n.e.s. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 376913107.6162691,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 4.56187888455748,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 473901363.33816814,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.57619401740942,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2949679227888793,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "030553",
      "hs_description": "Fish: dried, whether or not salted but not smoked, fish of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae and Muraenolepididae, other than cod",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60033560.137723446,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.78736084970345,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.37220688902822846,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "841319",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: for liquids, fitted or designed to be fitted with a measuring device, other than pumps for dispensing fuel or lubricants",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79008705.99099709,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 4.975367136166902,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "902610",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: for measuring or checking the flow or level of liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 220321941.6809435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.853644752331781,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5543921981842914,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "030551",
      "hs_description": "Fish: dried, whether or not salted but not smoked, other than edible fish offal, cod (Gadus morhua, Gadus ogac, Gadus macrocephalus)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47284791.40394907,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.537259209975986,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4976717794696109,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "901580",
      "hs_description": "Surveying equipment: articles n.e.c. in heading no. 9015, including hydrographic, oceanographic, hydrological, meteorological or geophysical instruments and appliances (excluding compasses)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164000729.67893687,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2302691724087715,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "391739",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, n.e.s. in item no. 3917.30",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77985960.6999045,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4712684893286987,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "720219",
      "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-manganese, containing by weight 2% or less of carbon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35229497.40176183,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.848563791174264,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0382740203685177,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "310290",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, other kinds including mixtures not specified in the foregoing subheadings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58278941.56607073,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.38334846789338,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8148023203001814,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NOR",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "distance_km": 10610,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "importer_population": 213993.439,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-BRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-BRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-BRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-BRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NOR-BRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}