{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.576Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Netherlands exports to Syrian Arab Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Netherlands to Syrian Arab Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NLD",
    "country_name": "Netherlands"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SYR",
    "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
    "importer_iso3": "SYR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 35,
    "current_lane_count": 10,
    "current_product_count": 10,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 15578717.113999998,
    "attention_trade_usd": 12679885.766,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7574257.089,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 15578717.113999998,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14358905.724999998,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 15578717.113999998,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.958840211678462,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 75.21332579392592,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2839.745517504268,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 36.86163301495071,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 81.39236159956376,
    "top_product_hs6": "170199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5742569.531,
    "top_product_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3265.953369140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21445.775364,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1266,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18275.703,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9043464757107378,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.065563203855846,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9239347234722777,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 81.39236159956376,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21445.775364,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1266,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18275.703
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 121033332.91337532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 78959915.5,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.76184320520005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 88653817.15453464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.27699091766965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 67862593.86188015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.452146743340784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.54028662510937
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 75988489.50382824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.974042221973736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2704754479570646
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 51632445.2684513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.052281068371414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.489371687195153
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 359469221.0724543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 596.2080126236028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.3186090057409
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 303099315.9632752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.681427450451235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.59118645708057
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 389948510.1179966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.653708398749544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.1981271152468
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 301790301.67585284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.60765361443937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.663189338973396
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 149014080.90794742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.62330363816642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.075085986339147
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 183558467.24771658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.181961147086994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.210248212254957
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 348717764.85501355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.97639830169781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.935619568730876
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 309911550.34842706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.128258556807669,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.644905079330286
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 249361855.20484078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.53773425853652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.752073522876726
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 280424559.12419057,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.456878737059851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0076282438866215
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 240672810.74893293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.175558838144752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.082877009343893
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 134815177.88737553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.98404312150858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.535276167343696
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 120111474.65152162,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.906563686870163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.619996882114393
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 116173530.87745889,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2785741624502207,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.55594183372068
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 86261985.92860617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.7472977905817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.82918092123595
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 49207676.92053942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.955548274455865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.729538726964318
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 62370791.326703876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.750123618760256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.72480471354582
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 72073465.69531916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.556439420163514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.814224527675083
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 70629483.73054384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.003486235668983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.802239793235115
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 57353651.15823567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.796445720821563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7566439440039114
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 43411071.21910653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.30983844544142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.548305963677533
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 44087645.523810916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.55852939285821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.537231342656376
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 26797846.83,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.21687921500144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.402759601252964
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 36747580.774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.12885593801269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.403278835468683
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94104028.87419847,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.03527964739474,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1974641685093756,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "070110",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: seed potatoes, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21035155.799000002,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.57095790410071,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6610896720920828,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "180500",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12132509.694632571,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.31960115732639,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7966741632655485,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10740121.039230622,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.65726413351433,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8952108638938002,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90971866.03611733,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.94947094540825,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1906009519163379,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "040221",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11932250.170385372,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.64786413931145,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3876357972334488,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79827401.64330341,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.72202591497258,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1235168091635204,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28190049.504011482,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.67146132421806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9256148538424211,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17245503.89901493,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.27698343258841,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8536905131790373,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "210111",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10996513.231055502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.54884504268517,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4723539250132462,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
    "importer_iso3": "SYR",
    "distance_km": 3267,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668,
    "importer_population": 18275.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1018007.05695,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 58061.00166795897,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-SYR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-SYR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-SYR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-SYR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-SYR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}