{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.807Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Netherlands exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Netherlands to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NLD",
    "country_name": "Netherlands"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1284,
    "current_lane_count": 1279,
    "current_product_count": 1279,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5119183017.142089,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1811631391.8826423,
    "critical_trade_usd": 81485469.94069391,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1668574710.8974185,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 996972426.2375494,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1416355.357331565,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2164131626.095099,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 5,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 260,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 535,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 634,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 6,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 752,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0587685515029617,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.81147014374124,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 89.55796742861706,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 2.9896375808041578,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 8.39908176822183,
    "top_product_hs6": "293499",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 153045019.31062403,
    "top_product_description": "Nucleic acids and their salts, other heterocyclic compounds, n.e.c. in heading number 2934",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "293499",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1862.043212890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.34709632396698,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 35.38907254958879,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.5917670782199385,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1362429172.4324553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1357836505.0320833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.337094029788898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1927067670.350755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.921922352884586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1577163129.0099208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.15735621142699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.999579653409492
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1591561750.9034154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9129443637535095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.436748462612373
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1809694024.829832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.705548892626918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0729371071482317
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1992594736.3638978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.106720198253626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.105416515457575
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1908351882.937906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.2277966456801375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.237617219070257
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2208893823.2390733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.748769552839658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.870185390114325
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2393105285.284319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.339534481341527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.295352312668978
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2728093304.1043854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.998047678051373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.65062025517556
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3200523957.364127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.317246904604588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.157170808757357
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3408426685.036015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.495896623223896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.511621475862489
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4154586360.7899966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.89161583054844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.050768457367658
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3646324922.029041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.233743497494887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.442700960394519
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3838322979.211938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.265522444885606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.038924271112609
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3735678167.597799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.674209861183008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4807612959922407
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3293088744.578693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.847632562622756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3394290108096136
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3566761819.9430265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.310528400270801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4162437908669565
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3790553985.553175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.274379308392475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4872768733063637
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3051426974.331847,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.49918175650157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.508553198962249
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3126545845.366015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.46176204333437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.295968933766991
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3787230873.9582934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.13146780084827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.029231287257514005
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4415249610.255418,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.58253106816112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.10559618607272
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4170104890.602818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.552227875932447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.07635982940036
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3878661938.8554506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.988863815011548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7983405822162837
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4901899618.159302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.38120298789941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.546728985934955
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5222465601.798473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.539627667029757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.789436883339929
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5393399855.03827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.273056565100818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.616113674828732
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5545278287.23689,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8160054192299944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.196463145345741
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "293499",
      "hs_description": "Nucleic acids and their salts, other heterocyclic compounds, n.e.c. in heading number 2934",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327034853.6798004,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 4.533775340550276,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2225380973.391507,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.106074637083374,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7444354337184682,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 562488249.9462981,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.2679786022602,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7178982671169498,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2111850043.6098886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.19622437269546,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4682218129435686,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "020130",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 402891751.52631867,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6618957003379476,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "290321",
      "hs_description": "Unsaturated chlorinated derivatives of acyclic hydrocarbons: vinyl chloride (chloroethylene)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132649271.28714542,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.20702121746255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6358419767284809,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 507231118.61457294,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.818698965807506,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8287921052782445,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "030562",
      "hs_description": "Fish: cod (gadus morhua, gadus ogac, gadus macrocephalus), salted or in brine but not dried or smoked",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 356916139.02963513,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8003665266754694,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "847150",
      "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198504633.008894,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8828820195672985,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1457398661.3325503,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2060224650885734,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "distance_km": 1865,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "importer_population": 10299.423,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1018007.05695,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 58061.00166795897,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-PRT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-PRT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-PRT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-PRT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-PRT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}