{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.081Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Netherlands exports to New Caledonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Netherlands to New Caledonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NLD",
    "country_name": "Netherlands"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NCL",
    "country_name": "New Caledonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
    "importer_iso3": "NCL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2019,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 537886.805,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 494117.504,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 94769.986,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 537886.805,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 537886.805,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.56795613521123,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.19185677997977,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6942.755393531102,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 82.38105394684295,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "901890",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 443116.819,
    "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 16332.6376953125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.28130000829696655,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 9435.529927,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34695,
    "buyer_population_latest": 272.62,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0373796350958373,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.6497579926365367,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290465692878167,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 9435.529927,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 34695,
    "buyer_population_2024": 272.62
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 7131814.850568262,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 8251068.178697755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.69380797989044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 7097201.528618149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.984451771451933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 5997569.67626313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.493879494910178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.6101967750867505
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 6575556.616445255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.637019182447371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.286968459806942
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 6694071.705457544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8023582781705016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9303991789790254
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 6710127.58341728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.23985219558742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8130200103392298
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 7950581.387027731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.486292372085167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.534136162825455
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 9569570.05056514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.363148111142813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.65073299182129
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 9723480.105001051,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6083277892596781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.161054046030207
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 11873308.68285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.10966191768349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.302998592984405
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 14135112.536793115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.049482451425703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.885635140421048
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 12947273.135358099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.403466179297258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.015073525092433
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 19295422.68231999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.03078417049487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.569366821369936
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 12800922.038349727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.65824501953536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2508123054632465
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 17692681.35245893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.214116916376774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.969879720142917
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 37891318.64239949,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.16379963873227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.226182357197978
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 19179806.570891805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.382055684306394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.428531218928175
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 20755513.514029477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.215447519314623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.466194459321949
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 19235304.139841944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.32436406914222,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.227516514247302
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 17132587.93187775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.931546455815333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6926169092546424
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 14489752.87114969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.425778471042717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.289335603326943
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 15866044.179337403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.49837668334581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.2171987960652375
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 19016210.34927139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.854767416042485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5381341678160982
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 15188431.470350172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.129031014151987,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5821302020053496
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 15285106.949531687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6365073271077382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2357111724994208
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 13954308.439087745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.706504408755322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.802441550880125
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 15980486.507297426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.520089455197272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7089155089162755
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 20348422.7658622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.33293668231047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.007110327853797
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 14679060.993678875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.861431018106252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.702115235190771
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10293886.434990726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.137659147371143,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6771661059549383,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "230910",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10227956.003,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.31233533963497,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3668328240032035,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14346138.798227277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.86768624978642,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6966754127259075,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NLD",
    "importer_iso3": "NCL",
    "distance_km": 16313,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484,
    "importer_population": 272.62,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1018007.05695,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 58061.00166795897,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-NCL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-NCL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-NCL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-NCL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-NCL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}