{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.800Z", "seo": { "title": "Netherlands exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Netherlands to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NLD", "country_name": "Netherlands" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 1128, "current_lane_count": 1009, "current_product_count": 1009, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4120590854.6164255, "attention_trade_usd": 2182446475.4641194, "critical_trade_usd": 139414242.42256755, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1273959102.6381035, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 944503492.1581616, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 17397535.521293923, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1056742693.4441226, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 4120590854.6164255, "critical_lane_count": 6, "high_attention_lane_count": 266, "high_volatility_lane_count": 502, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 642, "declining_demand_lane_count": 19, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 504, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0715251520914337, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.704465153664437, "product_concentration_hhi": 488.26702887362757, "top1_product_share_pct": 19.596827079362193, "top3_product_share_pct": 28.86583481284026, "top_product_hs6": "848620", "top_product_trade_usd": 807505064.4271936, "top_product_description": "Machines and apparatus of a kind used solely or principally for the manufacture of semiconductor devices or of electronic integrated circuits", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854231", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 9303.376953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10440000146627426, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.9966357792484857, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.018857527631818, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.041366910598487, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 52.96440613653882, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.383355624021187, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2032059562.1952555, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2014172263.1521165, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8802546626052177, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1865786759.3488762, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.367071154630123, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1808417923.321138, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.07477988790954, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8120232514327834 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1961517204.1038775, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.465923656716168, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8791151836137212 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2024365802.4581356, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2040809136298476, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7564270885342967 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1908009070.5343883, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.74781157548, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8029924563672584 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 1869559694.5702746, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.015156875189539, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5877702861190501 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2034310001.098328, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.812251729994735, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.16347440945321257 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2290265943.165494, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.58195368105033, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.27599018565228 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2315379386.7455244, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.096529582294714, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.389282806707698 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2366338091.530472, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2008792630988427, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.168711603358056 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3036885511.9030056, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.33692373767458, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.862000151483885 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3915593088.404292, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.93449796040093, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.140238063730752 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3208810222.89812, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.050467695411243, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.68507897805102 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3864190730.317255, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.424408484563195, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.36192502168931 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4836548644.445968, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.163300209275153, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.294963318964998 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4330265510.938888, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.467859846472717, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.507095535412159 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4163536008.921258, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.850329768381322, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.518267182882905 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4150436884.157304, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3146153830755005, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.971745687636531 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3140027573.51937, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.344649463163325, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.159330723259608 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2934194009.931389, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.555151468217247, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.009803235680183 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3151229341.341844, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.3967614505330515, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.771878446038606 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4036143518.1530137, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.08155424302945, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.72874609807537 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3949456512.6566505, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1477681630120093, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.41197286286426 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4096960176.5713773, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7347838479048434, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.14250323711805 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4011536131.134252, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0850592086695374, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2036396492803516 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4398688464.553872, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.650974608326756, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.656201352795363 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4029650553.841894, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.389726021422316, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5506654944993472 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4280378140.994872, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.222067740189852, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.185782856376961 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "848620", "hs_description": "Machines and apparatus of a kind used solely or principally for the manufacture of semiconductor devices or of electronic integrated circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2769470077.859214, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9472022787342381, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "300215", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8693416929.978165, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.729008725557605, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8037683119874041, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8417743430.722703, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.5516083266604763, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.209958824845752, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "848690", "hs_description": "Machines and apparatus of heading 8486: parts and accessories", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2056204648.7581592, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.32409477686747, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0289071298265418, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "901839", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: catheters, cannulae and the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1711561457.1335685, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.22171125528233, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6709519629979837, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2977057388.3605924, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6836503656532132, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 724333795.9101127, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.55924823556445, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7241038668281675, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "902139", "hs_description": "Artificial parts of the body: excluding artificial joints", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 791518350.2756463, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.451637192836756, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1876370362553013, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "020329", "hs_description": "Meat: of swine, n.e.s. in item no. 0203.2, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2610137586.9177055, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.005295995288726, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6371039614715669, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11774935312.631916, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.33627157038737, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.995550501928514, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NLD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 9311, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1018007.05695, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 58061.00166795897, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.9966357792484857, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.018857527631818, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.041366910598487 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NLD-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }